Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

The production of biogas is positioned as energy which can not only generate a source of energy known as "green" but also which can recycle waste. In the context of sustainable development, the place of biogas is therefore essential. The risks corresponding to the production processes and uses of are...

In this paper, we express the initial concept of geospatial information diffusion supporting by background data, which plays a role as a bridge to diffuse the information carried by the observations, obtained from observed units, to gap units. The self-learning discrete regression, based on the multivariate...

In natural disaster risk assessment, it is referred to as integrated model which is used to integrate information. The statistical model is essentially integrated model. Usually, people try to search the reasons that choose a model from the theory or case. Based on the thinking of experimental riskology,...

On April 20, 2010, British Petroleum’s Deepwater Horizon drilling rig in the Gulf of Mexico exploded, creating the largest oil spill in U.S. history. Analysis of 1,161 BP tweets during the crisis response reflected unexpected reputation repair strategies and responsibility attribution. Situational Crisis...

Global contractors operate in an environment that has a variety of alternatives and uncertain circumstances that requires constant circumvention and adjustment. It is not uncommon that a contractor conducting an international project does not comprehensively evaluate the local environments and identify...

The influence of locus of control and stress on coping strategies in relation to volcanic risk were studied in 156 people living near the Popocatépetl volcano in Mexico. The participants with a limited educational background were more likely than those with higher education to use passive coping strategies....

The aim of this paper is to develop an MCDA model to support decision makers in the marine environment. The UTASTAR method is employed for the selection of the best area for ship-to-ship transfer of cargo. The method relies on the hypothesis that both the actions and the corresponding criteria interact...

Based on an improved risk assessment index system, this paper constructs an eco-environmental disaster risk assessment model during coalbed methane industrialization development in China by using intuitionistic fuzzy sets to describe the uncertain risk information, and the transformed interval value...

The rapid, worldwide development of mobile phones is accompanied in many countries by public concern over the possible health risks of radio frequencies (RF). National and international health agencies have undertaken risk assessments, and an in-depth study was recently conducted with the French Agency...

The paper considers an important and complex interdisciplinary integration problem – providing, supporting and managing safety of interdependent critical infrastructures (ICIs) of a municipal area or region, embedded in the context and realities of modern society of risk. The problem is solved using...

A copula-cloud (C-C) coupled framework is proposed with respect to the uncertainty and multi-criteria mapping in water environmental hazard evaluation, with introducing copulas and cloud model theory. In the C-C framework, cloud models are firstly generated with given risk criteria which quantify the...

On the 10th anniversary of the “5.12 Wenchuan Earthquake” disaster, what changes have occurred in the industrial structure of Sichuan Province? It is an important topic for government, industry and the public. This paper analyzed the impact of Wenchuan earthquake on various industries in Sichuan Province...

The human health risk assessment associated to the human exposure to polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans (PCDD/Fs) and metals for the population living near a hazardous waste landfill (HWL) in Catalonia (Spain) is here presented. In summer of 2009 and 2010, two monitoring campaigns were...

The paper is concerned with measuring of risks in managerial decision-making. It builds upon the uncertainty of economic information, which is converted into the concept of risk expressed in terms of probability and using confidence intervals and standard deviations of the predicted quantities. The paper...

The trust mechanism and trust model of mobile banking is especially urgent because of its high cognitive risk and poor experience. This article studies several key factors that affect the trust mechanism of mobile banking, such as structure assurance, ubiquity, information quality, initial trust, perceived...

We analyzed precipitation anomalies of summer maize in order to establish a drought weather index model that is based on tassel appearance and maturity stage as well as drought yield reduction rate. We utilized daily precipitation data encompassing the period between 1971 and 2010 from 15 agricultural...

According to the existing domestic and foreign research results as well as the characteristics of the guide fund, this paper constructs the index system of guide fund performance evaluation, selects the data of the part of the enterprises shared by the government guide venture capital fund and uses the...

The role of the banking balance sheet as the source and transmitter of systemic risk is explored. We find that the key balance sheet channels of systemic risk are; (i) bank capital structure choice, (ii) interconnectedness and interdependencies among firms, (iii) correlations of asset composition and...

Through the probability analysis of seismic hazard analysis, the probability distribution results of different intensity in each township of Linfen area are given. Through analysis, it is concluded that the probability of occurrence of high-intensity impact in the Linfen basin is higher than that of...

Does living as a disabled person affect how risks are perceived? Studies of various population groups show that not only macro level structures but also micro social contexts and individual conditions influence risk perception. This knowledge is important for formulating, designing, and communicating...

With the rapid development of rural micro-credit, whether the "agriculture, rural areas and farmers" problems have been effectively solved, whether the credit risk has been effectively controlled, these have become the focus of our attention to the rural economic environment. The main content of this...

This paper examined the effects of the social context (media communication, face-to-face communication, and friend and kinship network) on pre decisional processes of individual protective action. A two-stage survey was carried out aimed at residents in Beijing communities in half a year, and then the...

Crises are our new reality. “Black swans” are increasingly becoming the norm; our systems, environments, contexts are structurally prone to crises. Doing more of the same will not be the appropriate way to deal with modern crises: a paradigm shift is needed, based on a more accurate understanding of...

Crisis response can be improved by accounting for differences in risk perception. We confirm that gender individuality can be an important divider by using a case study of agricultural producers. Women were more risk averse and less confident. However, we found less difference than studies have found...

Since the global financial crisis in 2008, the Chinese government has invested 4000 billion to maintain the economic growth. And the investment made the inflation became more seriously. However, the investment has led to high inflation rate. To fight inflation, it is important to understand the effects...

The identification of the Shandong loess provenance adjacent to the floodplain of the Yellow River external the Loess Plateau is very important for revealing the path of dust accumulation and paleoenvironment, which has aroused widespread concern. In this study, the clay-size(< 5•m) minerals and major...

The determination of the default point is the key to applying the KMV model. In the traditional research, the default point is equal to the sum of short term debt and half of the long term debt empirically based on the credit data of American companies. But whether it is fit for the Chinese companies...

The idea of economics of disasters can be traced back to the mid-19th century. The field of economics of disaster continues to be expand after 1970s and mainly concentrating in the disaster loss assessment methods, disaster economic impact model, the value of life assessments and disaster insurance and...

A hazardous waste is waste that poses substantial or potential threats to public health or the environment. Hazardous waste management is an area of the waste management field concerned with the proper containment, management, and disposal of wastes which could be considered hazardous. In this paper,...

Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), a regional fire risk assessment model is developed for high-rise building group considering the fire danger degree, basic characters of the high-rise building group and fire control capability. The impact factors, values of typical risk parameter and the weight...

estimators of diversifiable risk and portfolio expected returns to reflect normal market conditions. GARCH (General Auto - Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) models are then used to make forecasts of given time series, from which future predictions of Non - Diversifiable risk, Diversifiable risk...

In this paper, an operational drought risk management framework based on the stream-flow intelligent internet control is proposed. In the proposed framework drought can be predicted, evaluated and mitigated by using a dynamic stream-flow control under the sensors detection. The framework mainly includes...

The New England Compounding Center’s (i.e., NECC) meningitis outbreak represents a major public health crisis of 2012 that led to over 40 deaths, along with infection of several hundred individuals. The outbreak necessitates the need for how such a crisis could be prevented.. The research focuses on...

The purpose of this study is to provide preliminary base-line data on public perceptions about the risks associated with nanotechnology. We analyzed the current development of nanotechnology in Chile and the risks associated with the incorporation of this new technology over time, considering the particular...

Due to the strong suddenness, large destruction and wide impact, disasters can cause serious property and safety loss to tourists, damage significantly tourism infrastructure, properties and resources. In order to prevent disaster and to better understand future disaster risk evolution, we have built...

Hebei Province is a region sensitive to global climate change. Under the background of climate change and frequent extreme climate events, existing agricultural production structure is facing enormous risk of climate disasters. In order to reduce the risk level of agricultural meteorological disasters,...

In order to optimize the ventilation effect of ammonia leakage in the refrigeration machinery room, a food processing enterprise is selected as the subject investigated. The velocity and concentration field distribution during the process of ammonia leakage are discussed through simulation of refrigeration...