Volume 5, Issue 1, April 2015, Pages 54 - 65
Research on Society Risk Evolution Mechanism and Counter Measures in Severe Emergency Infectious Disease — in the Case of H7N9 Avian Influenza
Xuanhua Xu, Chenguang Cai, Chunhong Wang
Received 11 October 2014, Accepted 28 January 2015, Available Online 1 April 2015.
- https://doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2015.5.1.5How to use a DOI?
- Severe emergency infectious disease; Society risk; Evolution; Counter measure; Disaster chain; System dynamics
- In this paper, the evolution and control of society risks caused by severe emergency infectious disease will be analyzed and studied. Firstly, the evolution chain of society risks caused by severe emergency infectious disease is constructed to analyze the evolution rule of society risks and identify the essential factors in counter measures. Then, the system dynamics model is established and employed to simulate the effects of society risk control with various countermeasures. Finally, based on the simulation results, a conclusion is drawn: improving medical treatment capacity, strengthening quarantine level under epidemic situation and enhancing the effective ness of dealing with public opinions are effective in controlling society risks. Especially when the three aspects mentioned above are promoted at the same time, the society risk control can achieve a more notable effect.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.
Cite this article
TY - JOUR AU - Xuanhua Xu AU - Chenguang Cai AU - Chunhong Wang PY - 2015 DA - 2015/04 TI - Research on Society Risk Evolution Mechanism and Counter Measures in Severe Emergency Infectious Disease — in the Case of H7N9 Avian Influenza JO - Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response SP - 54 EP - 65 VL - 5 IS - 1 SN - 2210-8505 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2015.5.1.5 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/jrarc.2015.5.1.5 ID - Xu2015 ER -