Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory

Authors

Fengying Zhang¹, Jianhui Kong^{2, *}, Xiaofeng Xie^1, , Kai Xu³, Zongfang Zhou⁴

¹West China School of Nursing/West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610041, China

²Law School, Southwest Minzu University, Chengdu 610041, China

³School of Business, Chengdu University, Chengdu 610106, China1

⁴School of Management and Economics, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 610054, China

^*

通讯作者：孔建会,研究方向：风险管理。Email: John@swun.edu.cn 作者简介:张凤英,博士,副教授。研究方向：风险管理、护理管理及老年护理。Email: zhangfengying@scu.edu.cn

¹

基金项目：四川省科技厅项目(2018ZR0201)；国家自然科学基金项目(71871447)

^*Corresponding author

DOI

10.2991/jracr.k.200714.002How to use a DOI?

Keywords

COVID-19; risk assessment; risk occurrence mechanism; risk early warning mechanism; long-term care facilities

Abstract

In the current complex and uncertainty of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, the elderly in the long-term care facilities are at the highest risk of being affected by COVID-19. There is still uncertain relationship between the identification of this risk and the care management, caring behavior, cannot achieve management optimization. Matrix analysis the change relation between the conditions for the COVID-19 risk identification and risk behavior. The results show that there are N equilibrium points for the risk management of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities. The complexity of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities and the cognitive deviations caused by the limited rationality of managers and caregivers make the COVID-19, the risk early warning system is not easy to converge to a stable point in the real environment, so as to achieve the best management status of the COVID-19 risk in long-term care facilities. Nursing staff behavior, risk management cost, risk loss and other parameters have different risk management effects for the COVID-19. When the selected parameter is adjusted through the threshold, reflects the stability and selection tendency of the COVID-19 risk management strategy. Promote institutional managers and caregivers to adopt active risk management strategies: Strengthen the awareness of institutional managers and caregivers about the complexity and uncertainty of risks; Optimize the COVID-19 risk management system, process and procedures; Strengthen the research on risk accidents, serious consequences and effective prevention of COVID-19; Strengthen the review and supervision of the risk management of COVID-19 and improve its value perception of the effective prevention of the risk of COVID-19.

Copyright

© 2020 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press B.V.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Download article (PDF)
View full text (HTML)

TY  - JOUR
AU  - Fengying Zhang
AU  - Jianhui Kong
AU  - Xiaofeng Xie
AU  - Kai Xu
AU  - Zongfang Zhou
PY  - 2020
DA  - 2020/07/21
TI  - Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory
JO  - Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response
SP  - 37
EP  - 42
VL  - 10
IS  - 2
SN  - 2210-8505
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/jracr.k.200714.002
DO  - 10.2991/jracr.k.200714.002
ID  - Zhang2020
ER  -