Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Latest Articles

Research Article

Reconstruction: Key to Social Responsibility Risk Assessment for Tourism Investment Projects†

Chen Lv, Xiaoyan Li
In Press, Corrected Proof, Available Online: 5 February 2021
The strategy of investing large-scale tourism projects abroad has become one of the most important strategies for China to help developing countries to improve their people’s livelihood, provide assistance and practice China’s international responsibility. The proposal and implementation of the Belt...
Research Article

Investigation of the Risk Awareness of Wearing Masks by the Public during COVID-19 According to the Health Belief Questionnaires of Shanxi Province Residents

Hou Ruyi, Duan Tingyu, Sui Chunying, Wu Yibo, Wang Xiujun, Wang Yujie, Sun Yu
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 168-175
When some parts of the world are still debating whether the public wearing masks will help prevent and control the COVID-19. We have used questionnaires to investigate the wearing of masks and its influencing factors among residents in 11 cities in Shanxi Province. The questionnaire was designed based...
Review Article

Risk Forecasting in the Light of Big Data

Roman Kernchen
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 160-167
Life in modern society is increasingly connected by networks that link the world around us and create numerous exciting opportunities, new services and advantages for humanity. Yet concurrently, these underpinning networks have provided routes by which potentially dangerous and harmful incidents can...
Research Article

Research on the Management Capability Measurement of GEM Listed Companies based on DEA Tobit Model

Feng Xia, Zhang Mu
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 138-146
With the rise of the Growth Enterprise Market (GEM), more and more investors have begun to pay attention to it and begin to consider investing in related listed companies. Therefore, the healthy and stable development of the GEM is of great significance to investors. The management of the company is...
Research Article

Evaluation of Climate Change Risk Perception in Baoji City Based on AHP-Bayesian Network

Siwen Xue, Qi Zhou, Shuo lin Geng
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 147-159
To analyze the gap between the Baoji population’s climate change risk perception and the scientifically measured intensity, danger degree, vulnerability, and exposure of climate change risk based on the basic elements of risk assessment, this paper combines analytic hierarchy process and the Bayesian...
Research Article

Influencing Factors of Equity Financing Efficiency of the Listed Companies in Strategic Emerging Industry Based on Baidu Index

Zhi-yuan Lü, Mu Zhang
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 130-137
In order to further improve the equity financing efficiency of listed companies in strategic emerging industries, this paper selects relevant data of 208 listed companies in strategic emerging industries from 2014 to 2018, and calculates the changes in scale efficiency, pure technical efficiency and...
Research Article

Equity Financing Efficiency Measurement of Listed Companies in Strategic Emerging Industries based on DEA

Si-si Li, Mu Zhang
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 101-112
Equity financing is an important part of corporate capital structure decision-making. The level of financing efficiency is of great significance to the survival and development of Listed Companies in strategic emerging industries. In order to measure the equity financing efficiency of Listed Companies...
Research Article

Anchor-based Goals and Personality Effects on Hazard Identification in Risk Assessment

Piers Fleming, Harry England
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 113-118
Hazard identification is a crucial first step in risk assessment. There are many cases in which hazard identification is carried out by non-experts. One concern is that valid hazards are overlooked and so not considered for mitigation or prevention. This study examined whether a goal-setting anchor could...
Research Article

Five Supplementary Therapies for COVID-19

Li-Yuan Liu
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 97-100
The COVID-19 is characteristic of both damage of the respiratory system and the immune system or both similarities of SARS and AIDS. These features decide difficulty of specific treatment. The worldwide transmission and higher fatality rate call for new skills for prevention and treatment. Here, we recommend...
Research Article

Game Theoretic Strategies for Supplier Capability Assessment and Manufacturing Order Allocation

Cheng-Kuang Wu, Yu-Min Chuang
Volume 10, Issue 4, December 2020, Pages 121-129
An effective method is required to determine the amount and priority for the deployment of suppliers for multiple manufacturing processes, particularly when the available budget for each manufacturing process is limited. In this study, we propose an integrated approach for supplier assessment that consists...
Research Article

Multi-hazard Awareness, Risk Perception and Fear to Earthquakes: The Case of High-school Students in Mexico City

Jaime Santos-Reyes
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 91-96
A cross-sectional study was conducted in 2015 for the case of students at a high school in Mexico City; the sample size was N = 302. The aim of the study was to assess the level of hazard awareness, risk perception, and the negative emotion related to fear during earthquakes. Some of the main findings...
Research Article

Research on Public Health Security Risk Management and Emergency Response Measures under Climate Change

Xing Kaicheng, Li Hongyu, Ma Guihong, Jing Yuanyuan, Yang Ming, Huang Dapeng
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 82-90
Climate change, characterized by global warming, has a wider and deeper impact on society, economy and life. Climate change is an important cause of human health and the spread of infectious diseases. The explosiveness and uncertainty of the epidemic of infectious diseases pose a huge threat to human...
Research Article

Patterns of Fatal Explosion Accidents in China

Lei Pang, Zhiwen Zhang, Kai Yang, Pengfei Lv, Siheng Sun
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 54-63
Explosion accidents usually lead to serious fatality and disability. To investigate the patterns of Fatal Explosion Accidents (FEA), a database containing 1835 FEA that happened in China during 2001–2018 was built. Statistical analysis was made based on the year, month, time interval of day, day of week,...

Introduction for Volume 10, Issue 2

Chongfu Huang, Gordon Huang
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages i-i
Research Article

Research on the Prevention and Control of COVID-19 Risk in Long-term Care Facilities based on Prospect Theory

Fengying Zhang, Jianhui Kong, Xiaofeng Xie, Kai Xu, Zongfang Zhou
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 37-42
In the current complex and uncertainty of the risk of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities, the elderly in the long-term care facilities are at the highest risk of being affected by COVID-19. There is still uncertain relationship between the identification of this risk and the care management, caring...
Research Article

A Sales Forecasting Model for the Consumer Goods with Holiday Effects

Mu Zhang, Xiao-nan Huang, Chang-bing Yang
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 69-76
In reality, there are so-called holiday effects in the sales of many consumer goods, and their sales data have the characteristics of double trend change of time series. In view of this, by introducing the seasonal decomposition and ARIMA model, this paper proposes a sales forecasting model for the consumer...
Research Article

Analysis of Death Risk of COVID-19 under Incomplete Information1

Chongfu Huang
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 43-53
It is easy to write a story about the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) when everything about COVID-19 is known. It is difficult to analyze the death risks of COVID-19 with a few evidences collected before and at the beginning of the outbreak. In this paper, we suggest a hybrid model to analyze the...
Research Article

An Analysis Method of Black Swan Event based on Impact-spread Tree

Xinying 馨营 Liu 刘, Hang 航 Li 李, Xiaobing 小兵 Hu 胡
Volume 10, Issue 2, August 2020, Pages 64-68
The black swan event has the characteristics of rarity and serious consequences. At present, the analysis of black swan events is generally preconceived (that is, the event is assumed to be a black swan event, and then the influence of the event is discussed), or whether it is a black swan event is directly...

Research on the Contagion Mechanism of Associated Credit Risk in the Supply Chain

Xiaofeng Xie, Yang Yang, Jing Gu, Zongfang Zhou
Volume 10, Issue 1, April 2020, Pages 19-22
In recent years, the credit crisis of Hainan Airlines Holding Co., Ltd., (HNA), Suntech, Bogang, Dunan, Chengxing and other enterprises, as well as the fact that many enterprises and financial institutions in the supply chain suffer heavy losses caused by the credit crisis, make the associated credit...
Research Article

Discussing the Need to Manage Uncertainty Relating to Users in Road Tunnel Fire Risk Assessment

Panagiotis Ntzeremes, Konstantinos Kirytopoulos, Vrassidas Leopoulos
Volume 10, Issue 1, April 2020, Pages 12-18
Although tunnels provide roads with numerous advantages, they also include significant risks. Especially, fire accidents are the biggest threats. Nowadays, risk assessment has the predominant role for managing tunnel fire safety and users are in the centre of attention. However, existing methods exhibit...
Research Article

Risk Analysis and Crisis Management of Novel Coronavirus COVID-19✩

Weixi Xu, Xuanhua Xu
Volume 10, Issue 3, October 2020, Pages 77-81
After the outbreak of new coronavirus pneumonia, all regions have responded to take measures. Emergency decision-making plays an important role, directly related to the safety of the people, and more deeply will affect the future of the country. In this paper, we try to use the wisdom of large groups...
Research Article

Review the Parameters of Historical Strong Earthquakes in Tianshui and Its Surrounding Areas

Wu 吴 Qing 清
Volume 10, Issue 1, April 2020, Pages 1-5
There is a high intensity and frequency of earthquake occurrence in Tianshui and its surrounding areas and it is very important to study on the historical strong earthquakes occurred in that area for knowing about the seismicity and earthquake risk prevention. This paper proposed an elliptical intensity...
Research Article

Kernel Density Estimation of White Noise for Non-diversifiable Risk in Decision Making

Emma Anyika Shileche, Patrick Weke, Thomas Achia
Volume 10, Issue 1, April 2020, Pages 6-11
Many businesses make profit yearly and tend to invest some of the profit so that they can cushion their organizations against any future unknown events that can affect their current profit making. Since future happenings in businesses cannot be predicted accurately, estimates are made using experience...
Research Article

The Diamond Princess Cruise: An Accidentally Experimental Model of COVID-19

Liyuan 里远 Liu 刘
Volume 10, Issue 1, April 2020, Pages 23-25
On February 2020, the Diamond Princess Cruise, which left Japan, was obliged to stay at sea for 14 days-quarantine after it was found that a Hong Kong passenger had been diagnosed SARS-COV2 pneumonia after disembarking. As a result shocked the world, an outbreak of infection occurred on board; the number...