Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Latest Articles

Summary of Intelligent Guidance System for Fire Emergency Evacuation in Large Buildings

Xiangzhi 相至 Meng 孟, Rongmei 荣梅 Guo 郭, Xiaobing 小兵 Hu 胡
Volume 9, Issue 4, January 2020, Pages 194-202
With the continuous development of the social economy and the deepening of urbanization, large buildings are increasing, and disaster risks associated with large buildings, such as fire risks, are also increasing. Because of large buildings, such as shopping malls, business offices, transportation hubs...

Meteorological Risk Assessment of Rooftop Solar Resource Development in Inner Mongolia

Yanan 胡 Hu 亚男, Xinghua 李 Li 兴华
Volume 9, Issue 4, January 2020, Pages 177-184
Due to the long and narrow regional characteristics of Inner Mongolia, there are obvious climatic differences between the east and the west, and various meteorological factors have different influences on the development and utilization of solar energy. The abundance and stability index of solar energy...

Introduction for Volume 9, Issue 4

Chongfu Huang, Gordon Huang
Volume 9, Issue 4, January 2020, Pages 203-203

Interannual Variation and Hazard Analysis of Meteorological Disasters in East China

Jun Shi, Linli Cui, Zhongping Shen
Volume 9, Issue 4, January 2020, Pages 168-176
Based on the historical data of meteorological disasters in East China during 2004–2015, the overall characteristics, interannual variations and the hazards of meteorological disasters in different provinces of East China were analyzed. The results indicated that flood disaster (including landslide and...

The Harmonious Development of Big Data Industry and Financial Agglomeration in Guizhou

Junmeng Lu, Mu Zhang
Volume 9, Issue 4, January 2020, Pages 163-167
It has important practical and theoretical significance to study the coupling relationship and coordinated development between big data industry and financial agglomeration. This paper used 2015 cross-section data, the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, the intuitionistic fuzzy number score...

Prospects of Guizhou Province’s Ecological Agriculture Benefit Evaluation Index System

Jian He, Hongmei Zhang
Volume 9, Issue 4, January 2020, Pages 185-193
Ecological agriculture is a major reform in the history of world agriculture. The study of ecological agriculture benefits is of great significance to the development of ecological agriculture. In this paper, by referring to the evaluation index system of ecological agriculture at home and abroad, and...

Evaluation on Technology Innovation Efficiency of Big Data Enterprises Based on DEA

Xinpu Wang, Mu Zang
Volume 9, Issue 3, November 2019, Pages 145-148
Discussing the technological innovation efficiency of big data enterprises and carrying out in-depth research on big data enterprises will help to accurately evaluate the development status of big data industry and guide the development of big data industry. This paper uses DEA-BCC model to evaluate...

A Game Theory Approach for Multi-agent System Resources Allocation against Outside Threats

Cheng-Kuang Wu, Xingwei Hu
Volume 9, Issue 3, November 2019, Pages 134-144
This study proposes an integrated model for the deployment of multiagent resources for resisting outside threats. The proposed two-stage model applies the divide-and-conquer strategy to solve the resources allocation problem. First, the interactive actions between an external attack and a response agent...

Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation of Ecological Environment of 12 Provinces and Cities in Western China

Hongmei Zhang, Li Teng, Chen Yazhong
Volume 9, Issue 3, November 2019, Pages 156-161
The problem of ecological environment is a global problem. It is a basic material condition for human beings to survive and engage in various production practices, and has a tremendous impact on our economic and social life and development. In recent years, the overall situation of the ecological environment...

INTRODUCTION

Chongfu Huang, Gordon Huang
Volume 9, Issue 3, November 2019, Pages 155-155

Exploration of Risk Oriented Fund Performance Audit—Take Rural Endowment Insurance as an Example

Ronggang Zhang, Lanzhihao Liu
Volume 9, Issue 3, November 2019, Pages 149-154
The performance audit risk of rural pension fund is worth studying deeply. Based on the cost-benefit principle and the public fiduciary economic responsibility theory, this paper analyzes the current situation and causes of the performance audit of rural pension fund and finds that the audit demand degree...

A Critique of Pandemic Catastrophe Modeling

Daniel J. Rozell
Volume 9, Issue 3, November 2019, Pages 128-133
Catastrophe modeling is a popular risk assessment tool for the insurance industry and has been applied to a variety of natural disaster events. More recently, catastrophe modeling techniques have been extended to events, such as pandemics, where the range of possible scenarios is less understood due...

Re-examining Political Risk Assessments in Volatile Regions

Ghaidaa Hetou
Volume 9, Issue 3, November 2019, Pages 123-127
Conventional country risk and political risk indexes, to formalize the process, have attempted to standardize and generalize assessment models for factors that are highly context specific. Hence, the value derived from traditional political risk indexes lack precision and are therefore less reliable....

Introduction for Volume 9, Issue 2

Chongfu Huang, Gordon Huang
Volume 9, Issue 2, July 2019, Pages 60-61

Competency of the Infantry Troops of the Nepalese Army in Disaster Response

Shrijan Bahadur Malla, Shuichi Hasegawa, Ranjan Kumar Dahal
Volume 9, Issue 2, July 2019, Pages 62-73
Although the Nepalese Army’s regular infantry troops are the tools of disaster response their competency at times becomes questionable. Their disaster response’s soft skill knowledge, technical skill knowledge and preparedness activities along with the perception of senior army officers have been analyzed....

Seismic Hazard Model Harmonization in Tienshan Area

Changlong Li, Mengtan Gao
Volume 9, Issue 2, July 2019, Pages 74-84
This paper provides a comparison between Central Asia, the Middle East hazard models and the Chinese hazard result in Tienshan Area, based on reshaped seismogenic sources, recalculated related seismicity parameters, and calibrated ground motion models. This paper concluded that in the most areas of Tienshan,...

Applicability of Regional Evaluation for Rapid Assessment Models of Earthquake Disaster Life Loss – A case study of Gansu Province

Wen Li, Wenkai Chen, Hanran Zhang, Zijing Su
Volume 9, Issue 2, July 2019, Pages 85-92
In this paper, typical earthquake disaster life loss assessment models are applied to verify and calculate the historical earthquake cases in the Gansu Province since 1966. The assessment accuracy and applicability of various models in the Gansu Province are studied by means of actual earthquake cases....

Evaluation on Ecological Civilization Construction Level in Guizhou Based on Intuitionistic Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

Xinpu Wang, Mu Zang
Volume 9, Issue 2, July 2019, Pages 93-100
In order to better build the ecological environment of Guizhou province, accelerate the marketization and capitalization of Guizhou province’s ecological resources, and evaluate and study the construction level of Guizhou’s ecological civilization. This paper, by using IFAHP, the establishment of intuitionistic...

Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Urban Vulnerability in Guangzhou

Bo Tang, Jinan Qiu, Jiaying Huang, Yuanyuan Zhang, Feipeng Qiu
Volume 9, Issue 2, July 2019, Pages 101-110
The evaluation of urban vulnerability is of great significance to improve the quality of urbanization. An urban vulnerability index system was developed from four aspects of population vulnerability, economic vulnerability, social vulnerability and ecological vulnerability. The Spatial and temporal patterns...

Summary of Researches on Basis Risk in Weather Index Insurance

Yueqin Wang, Sijian Zhao
Volume 9, Issue 2, July 2019, Pages 111-122
Agricultural weather index insurance overcomes the technology and management problems existing in traditional agricultural insurance, and can effectively transfer agricultural meteorological disasters risk, providing strong guarantee for farmers with small production scale and scattered land. Although...

Introduction to Volume 9, Issue 1

Chongfu Huang, Gordon Huang
Volume 9, Issue 1, April 2019, Pages 1-1

Geospatial Information Diffusion Technology Supporting by Background Data

Chongfu Huang
Volume 9, Issue 1, April 2019, Pages 2-10
In this paper, we express the initial concept of geospatial information diffusion supporting by background data, which plays a role as a bridge to diffuse the information carried by the observations, obtained from observed units, to gap units. The self-learning discrete regression, based on the multivariate...

Study on the Changes of Industrial Structure in Sichuan Province before and after the “5.12 Wenchuan Earthquake”

Dongdong Zhu, Xianhua Wu, Peipei Xue
Volume 9, Issue 1, April 2019, Pages 11-19
On the 10th anniversary of the “5.12 Wenchuan Earthquake” disaster, what changes have occurred in the industrial structure of Sichuan Province? It is an important topic for government, industry and the public. This paper analyzed the impact of Wenchuan earthquake on various industries in Sichuan Province...

Rapid Assessment of Disaster Loss and Spatial Distribution of Intensity Residuals in Linfen Area

Xiaofei Han, Zihong Li, Jianjie Bo, Xiaoyun Zhao, Shuangshuang Shi
Volume 9, Issue 1, April 2019, Pages 20-35
Through the probability analysis of seismic hazard analysis, the probability distribution results of different intensity in each township of Linfen area are given. Through analysis, it is concluded that the probability of occurrence of high-intensity impact in the Linfen basin is higher than that of...

Study on Meteorological Service Policy for Agricultural Insurance in Hebei Province under the Background of Climate Change

Kaicheng Xing, Shujun Guo
Volume 9, Issue 1, April 2019, Pages 36-42
Hebei Province is a region sensitive to global climate change. Under the background of climate change and frequent extreme climate events, existing agricultural production structure is facing enormous risk of climate disasters. In order to reduce the risk level of agricultural meteorological disasters,...