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Proceedings Article
Artificial Neural Networks in Insurance Loss Reserving
Peter Mulquiney
In this paper we analyse insurance data using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)[1]. In particular, we use ANN for the problem of Loss Reserving. Loss reserving is the practice of estimating the future payments for the claims which have occurred on an insurance portfolio. A difficulty in forecasting future...
Proceedings Article
Stylized Facts in Internal Return Rates of Trend Speculators on Stock Indices
Lukas Pichl
Proceedings Article
Transaction Cost Transform of Trading Volume Series in a Closed Auction Type Stock Market Model
Lukas Pichl
Proceedings Article
Popularity-Based Summarization of Chinese Text: Implicit Weight-Based Features for Newspaper Articles
Lukas Pichl
Proceedings Article
An efficient real-time system for active video conferencing
Leila Sabeti, Q. M. Jonathan Wu, Jason Z. Zhang
This paper describes a new approach for implementation of an efficient real-time system proper for using in active video conferencing sessions. A camera tracks presenter’s head and its movements and orientations in an unconstrained environment automatically by its pan and tilt actions. Head or face is...
Proceedings Article
A Fuzzy Scheduling System for Dedicated Machine Constraint
Arthur M.D. Shr, Alan Liu, Yen-Ru Cheng
In this paper, we propose the Fuzzy Scheduling System (FSS) to deal with the dedicated machine constraint. The constraint of having a dedicated machine for photolithography process is the new issue introduced in photolithography machinery due to natural bias. If we randomly schedule the wafer lots to...
Proceedings Article
1/f Fractal Signals Denoising with Dual-Tree Complex Wavelet Transform
Xueyan Li, Shuxu Guo, Ye Li, Jingwei Fu, Shuai Jiang
In the paper, an algorithm based on Dual-Tree Complex Wavelet Transform is proposed for process denoising. Use the variance of the wavelet coefficients at different scales to estimate the parameters of process. Adopting Maximum a Posteriori estimator estimates the wavelet coefficients of process. The...
Proceedings Article
Volatility Dynamics of the Greater China Stock Markets: A Multivariate Asymmetric Approach
Kin Yip Ho
This paper examines the volatility dynamics of the greater China stock markets (Shanghai A- and B-shares, Shenzhen A- and B-shares, Taiwan, and Hong Kong) by employing a multivariate (tetravariate) framework that incorporates the features of asymmetries, persistence, and time-varying correlations, which...
Proceedings Article
Adaptive Fuzzy Modeling For A Large-Scale Nonlinear System
Jialin Liu
A data-driven Takagi-Sugeno (TS) fuzzy model is developed for modeling a real plant with the dependent inputs, the nonlinear and the time-varying input-output relation. The collinearity of inputs can be eliminated through the principal component analysis (PCA). The TS model split the operating region...
Proceedings Article
A Near-optimal Slot Assignment Algorithm for RFID Reader Networks
Chun-Fu Lin, Frank Yeong-Sung Lin, Cheng-Ta Lee
In this paper, we propose a method that reduces the cycle time of RFID reader networks by overlapping slots. A mathematical formulation of the problem is specified and an effective heuristic algorithm is developed.
Proceedings Article
A New Model of Isoseismal Area Assessment Based on Information Granule Diffusion
Ye Xue, Chongfu Huang
Utilizing the technique of information granule diffusion and fuzzy inference with max-min operation, this paper provides a new model to estimate isoseismal area by earthquake magnitude. The model does not depend on any extra condition but scanty historical earthquake recorders. The technique of information...
Proceedings Article
Is Rate of Stock Returns a Leading Indicator of Output Growth? In the Case of Four East Asian Countries
Pei-Fen Chen, Chien-Chiang Lee, Swee Yoong Wong
The link between stock returns and economic growth has been an important research topic in the financial economic literature. The purpose of this study is to employ a threshold vector autoregressive (TVAR) approach in order to investigate the non-linear relationship between stock returns and output growth...
Proceedings Article
Dynamic Handoff Ordering Adjustment for Multimedia Cellular Network
Chow-Sing Lin, Ping-Jing Huang
In multimedia cellular network, a Mobile Host (MH) requests multimedia services and may experience handoffs to several cells. When the target cell cannot provide adequate bandwidth for a service, instead of directly dropping a request, the MH is put into the handoff queue and hopefully the request bandwidth...
Proceedings Article
A New Method for Ranking Generalized Fuzzy Numbers for Handling Fuzzy Risk Analysis Problems
Shyi-Ming Chen, Jim-Ho Chen
In this paper, we present a new method for ranking generalized fuzzy numbers for dealing with fuzzy risk analysis problems. The proposed method considers the defuzzified values, the heights and the spreads of generalized fuzzy numbers, simultaneously, for ranking generalized fuzzy numbers. It gets better...
Proceedings Article
New Methods for Evaluating Students' Answerscripts Using Vague Values
Shyi-Ming Chen, Hui-Yu Wang
In this paper, we present two new methods for evaluating students’ answerscripts using vague values, where the evaluating marks awarded to the questions in the students’ answerscripts are represented by vague values. The vague mark awarded to each question of a student’s answerscript can be regarded...
Proceedings Article
Inversion detection in text document images
Hamid Pilevar, Ramakrishnan
OCR makes it possible for the user to edit or search the document’s contents. In this paper we describe a special water fill technique for detecting the upside down text document. Each character has a upside and downside filling capacities. A character may have two sides or one side filling capacity...
Proceedings Article
A new design of laser phase-shift range finder independent of environmental conditions and thermal drift
Shahram Mohammad Nejad, Kiazand Fasihi
This paper presents a technique to improve the performance of laser phase-shift range finders. The phase measurement is performed by using a new method to extract the phase-shift data from the peak of received and transmitted intermediate frequency signal amplitudes. The pulse width modulation is used...
Proceedings Article
Accuracy Improvement in the Nano-Displacement Measurement Based on the Doppler-Interferometry Method by Cross-talk Reduction
Saeed Olyaee, Shahram Mohammad Nejad
In this paper, accuracy improvement in the displacement measurement systems using Doppler-interferometry method is presented. The cross-talk error reduction methods are also discussed. Based on the mentioned method, a new nano-displacement measurement system is designed. In the designed system, the signal...
Proceedings Article
Nanometric Displacement Measurement System Using Three-Longitudinal-Mode He-Ne Laser
Shahram Mohammad Nejad, Saeed Olyaee
In this paper, design and simulation of a nanometric displacement measurement system is discussed. The combination of the Doppler effect and interferometry method is being used. A stabilized three-longitudinal-mode He-Ne laser with 632.8nm wavelength and 35cm cavity length is used. Its primary and secondary...
Proceedings Article
Feasibility Assessment of Support Vector Regression Models with Immune Algorithms in Predicting Fatigue Life of Composites
Ping-Feng Pai, Wei-Chiang Hong, Feng-Min Lai, Jia-Hroung Wu, Shun-Lin Yang
Predicting fatigue life of composite materials is essential to increase reliability of manufacturing systems. The predicting techniques for fatigue life of composite materials are not widely investigated. The support vector regression (SVR) is an emerging forecasting technique and has been applied in...
Proceedings Article
A class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models
Jun Yu, Zhenlin Yang
This paper proposes a class of nonlinear stochastic volatility (SV) models based on the Box-Cox transformation. The proposed class encompasses many parametric SV models that have appeared in the literature, including the well known lognormal SV model, and has an advantage in the ease with which different...
Proceedings Article
A QoS Improvement for Mobile Network in Large Vehicles
Chia-Hui Wang, Te-Chih Wang
In large vehicles such as a train, passengers can access Internet through an in-vehicle mobile router to effectively reduce the cost and overhead of roaming to a new network. While we apply the idea of mobile network into large vehicles, the critical issue is how to build up seamless Internet access...
Proceedings Article
Scheduling Mechanism for WLAN Frame Aggregation with Priority Support
Yang-Sheng Lin, Jun-Yao Wang, Wen-Shyang Hwang
For the overheads of 802.11 WLAN, several frame aggregation mechanisms had been proposed to deal with this shortcoming. Since the rare consideration of QoS in these proposals, we took advantage of 802.11e queueing model to enhance the priority scheduling. This paper approaches to eliminate the decomposition...
Proceedings Article
Hybrid wavelet -SVMs for modelling derivatives valuation
Hsing-Wen Wang, Shian-Chang Huang
Due to the rapid grow up of transaction volume of derivatives in the financial market, the Black-Scholes options pricing model (BSM) is played an important role recently and widely applied in various options contract. However, this theoretical model limited by the influences of many unexpected real world...
Proceedings Article
Understanding Social Complex Systems with PlatBox Simulator
Takashi Iba
This paper presents a framework and tools for modeling and simulating societies as complex systems. Although the concept of the complex systems has been highly demanded in social sciences, there is no satisfactory scheme for modeling and simulating it. In this paper, we propose the model framework, which...
Proceedings Article
Evaluating Uncertain Income Streams under a Regime-Switching Process
Yungchih George Wang
This paper extends the dynamic programming, utility maximization model proposed by Wang (2004) to value an investment opportunity whose income streams follows a regime-switching process in incomplete markets. Specifically, the model is applied to solve for certainty equivalent of an investment opportunity...
Proceedings Article
Dynamic Asset Allocation under Stochastic Volatility - Theory and Practice
Chung-Gee Lin
This study develops inter-temporal dynamic asset allocation with stochastic volatility (DAASV) models. The DAASV models integrate the stochastic volatility feature inherent in asset returns into the allocation procedure. By applying the DAASV, an investor can more efficiently diversify the unsystematic...
Proceedings Article
Convergence of GARCH Estimators: Theory and Empirical Evidence
Dietmar Maringer, Peter Winker
The convergence of estimators, e.g., maximum likelihood estimators, for increasing sample size is well understood in many cases. However, even when the rate of convergence of the estimator is known, practical application is hampered by the fact, that the estimator cannot always be obtained at tenable...
Proceedings Article
Assessing the Effect of Oil Price Shock Using an Energy-Economy Decision Model with Technology Characteristics
Shih-Mo Lin, Chin-Wen Yang, Chung-Huang Huang
The significant jump in world crude oil price over the past year has raised great concern over the economic impact that such a price shock may bring about on Taiwan’s economy, which has been characterized by extremely high import-oil dependence. Previous analyses have been tackling similar issue from...
Proceedings Article
The Influence of Investor Psychology on Disposition Effect
Shu Chun Hsiao, Sun Pi-Chuan
In 1980s, many empirical researches’ findings (i.e., Shiller(1984), Thaler (1985) et al. ) did not support efficient market hypothesis (EMH). Previous studies (e.g., Bernartzi and Thaler, 1995) related to behavioral model suggest that certain market anomalies are consistent with the presence of irrational...
Proceedings Article
Complexity and entropy density analysis of the Korean stock market
Jeong won Lee, Joongwoo Park, Hang-Hyun Jo, Jae-Suk Yang, Hie-Tae Moon
In this paper, we studied complexity and entropy density of stock market by modeling epsilon-machine of Korean Composition Stock Price Index (KOSPI) from year 1992 to 2003 using causal-state splitting reconstruction (CSSR) algorithm.
Proceedings Article
The Sequential Compound Option Pricing with Random Interest Rate and Application to Project Valuation
Meng-Yu Lee, Fang-Bo Yeh, An-Pin Chen
This paper proposes the pricing formula of sequential compound options (SCOs) with random interest rate and the applications call Milestone Project Valuation (MPV). Most compound options in literatures are 2-fold with constant parameters through time. The multi-fold compound options are just sequential...
Proceedings Article
Warrants Price forecasting using kernel machine and EKF-ANN: a comparative study
Hsing-Wen Wang, JIAN-HONG WANG, TSE-PING DONG, SHENG-HSUN HSU
The Black-Scholes options pricing model (BSM) is limited by the influences of many unexpected real world phenomena caused due to its six unreasonable assumptions, which often make the miss-pricing result because of the difference of market convention in practical. If we were to soundly take these phenomena...
Proceedings Article
The Indicators of M&A or Green Field Investment Behavior: the Evidence from Power Industry
Qiusheng Zhang, Guanghui Ye, Yunhua Chen
M&A and green field investment (GFI) are very important methods of company growth. Each of the investment ways could bring different outstanding achievement and development of company, so it is very important to choose the way of investment. This paper discusses the boundary of M&A and green field investment...
Proceedings Article
Long-Term Asset Management Strategy under Loss Aversion: A Quasi-Ladder Payoff Distribution Approach
Huai-i Lee, Hsinan Hsu, Len-Kuo Hu
The prospect theory implies that the inclusion of a gain-lock-in device into the floor of portfolio insurance can benefit the long-term asset management under loss aversion. We find that the relaxation of the multiple of the CPPI from a constant to a dynamic can improve the performance in the short-term....
Proceedings Article
An Improvement on Secure E-mail Protocols Providing Perfect Forward Secrecy
Iuon-Chang Lin, Yang-Bin Lin, Chung-Ming Wang
In 2005, Sun, Hsieh, and Hwang proposed two secure e-mail protocols with perfect forward secrecy. In the first protocol, the authors apply smart card and Diffie-Hellman key agreement scheme to achieve the perfect forward secrecy. However, due to it requires a smart card to store some parameters, it is...
Proceedings Article
An Interactive Intelligent Search Engine Model Research Based on User Information Preference
Dan Meng, Xu Huang
Web service is very important for both e-commerce and e-government. However, web service process based on syntax level can’t deal with some user query very effectively. In order to make user get more information on the internet, semantic web is presented and a lot of related research results have been...
Proceedings Article
Mining Objects Correlations to Improve Interactive Virtual Reality Latency
Shao-Shin Hung, Hsing-Jen Chen, Damon Shing-Min Liu
Object correlations are common semantic patterns in virtual reality systems. They can be exploited for improving the effectiveness of storage caching, prefecthing, data layout, and minimization of query-response times. Unfortunately, this information about object correlations is unavailable at the storage...
Proceedings Article
Fuzzy Distance of Trapezoidal Fuzzy Numbers
Shan Huo Chen, Chien-Chung Wang
Fuzzy distance is applied on data analysis, classification, and production positioning analysis widely. In this paper, We introduction a fuzzy distance by using graded mean integration representation of generalized fuzzy number and the span of fuzzy number, We also discuss the distance of the linguistic...
Proceedings Article
Adaptive PI Control of Piezoelectric Systems Using Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Logic
Gwo-Ruey Yu
This paper presents the nano-positioning control of a piezoelectric platform. A Bouc-Wen model is established to describe the nonlinear hysteretic effect of piezoelectric systems. Three kinds of compensators, traditional PI controller, PI-like fuzzy logic controller (FLC) and adaptive PI-FLC controller,...
Proceedings Article
Enhancing Performance of Relational Fuzzy Neural Networks with Square BK-Products
Warren L. Davis IV, Ladislav Kohout
In this paper, we extend research done in max-min fuzzy neural networks in several important ways. We replace max and min operations use in the fuzzy operations by more general t-norms and co-norms, respectively. In addition, instead of the Łukasiewicz equivalence connective used in the network of Reyes-Garcia...
Proceedings Article
Investigate C+L Band EDFA/Raman Amplifiers by Using the Same Pump Lasers
Shien Kuei Liaw
A novel hybrid C+L band EDFA/RFA is designed to share the 1480 nm pump laser(s). The concepts are based on three-level amplification mechanism for the C band EDFA and Raman shift amplification mechanism for the L band RFA, respectively. It has the advantage to simplify the pump source design. The optimum...
Proceedings Article
High Performance Ring-Cavity Tunable Lasers
Shien Kuei Liaw
We report the investigation of ring cavity tunable laser, which is based on FBG technology. The laser linewidth, power variation and tuning range are 0.015 nm, 0.5 dB and 31.0 nm, respectively. The ring-cavity tunable laser also has 60 dB of SMSR to insure high-quality operation. With the features mentioned...
Proceedings Article
CPW Filters with Defected Ground Structures for RF and Microwave Applications
Yeong-Lin Lai, Pei-Yen Cheng
New coplanar waveguide (CPW) filters with a fork-shaped defected ground structure (DGS) are proposed for radio-frequency (RF) and microwave applications. The miniature CPW DGS filters developed are based on the silicon technology. The filters are able to provide the bandstop characteristics with high...
Proceedings Article
New All-optical Wavelength Auto-router Based on Multibranch Waveguides
Shih-Yuan Chen, Mao-Hsiung Chen, Yaw-Dong Wu, Chih-Fu Chang
A new optical device for wavelength auto-router was proposed. Such a structure is useful in the integrated-optic for optical operation and data communication. We use the finite-difference beam propagation method to investigate the phenomenon of the proposed numerical model.
Proceedings Article
Enhancement of Tera-Hertz Radiation by carrier dynamics modulation with chirped optical pulses
Chao-Kuei Lee
Proceedings Article
Performance Assessment of MC Placement for Multicast Routing in WDM Networks with Spare Light Splitting
I-Shyan Hwang, Tsung-Ching Lin, Zen-Der Shyu
This investigation examines all-optical multicast routing in wavelength-routed optical networks with sparse Multicast Capable (MC) nodes that have three phases. The first phase is the MC node placement, and the maximum path count first (MPCF) algorithm is utilized to obtain candidates for MC nodes. The...
Proceedings Article
Variable Selection Method Affects SVM-based Models in Bankruptcy Prediction
Chih-Hung Wu, Wen-Chang Fang, Yeong-Jia Goo
This paper examined bankruptcy predictive accuracy of five statistics models--discriminant analysis logistic regression, probit regression, neural networks, support vector machine (SVM), and genetic-based SVM (GA-SVM) that influenced by variable selection. Empirical results indicate that the SVM-based...
Proceedings Article
The time-series relation between monthly sales and stock prices
Yann-ching Tsai, Hsueh-Fang Chien, Shu-Hua Lee
Security Exchange Commission in Taiwan requires all public companies to file and announce their monthly sales figure by the of the following month. This requirement has established another channel for market investors to obtain additional accounting information on a more timely basis than quarterly or...
Proceedings Article
A Framework for Knowledge-based Management Model on Decision-Making
Shao-Shin Hung, Damon Shing-Min Liu
Knowledge management (KM) is suggested as a method to manage and apply knowledge for business management. In this paper, we suggest a framework based on OPF (Open Process Framework) meta model for the knowledge-based decision-making. Based on the modeling method of OPF, we can translate partial and implicit...