Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Volume 3, Issue 4, December 2013

1. Editor's Introduction

Dong Wang, Ren Zhang
Pages: 156 - 157
Research Article

2. Gezi Park Crisis

Ali Eksi
Pages: 158 - 165
The objective of this article is to evaluate the Gezi Park incident which started on 28 May 2013 and continued until the end of June in terms of crisis management. The reasons why a civil opposition act that started against the decision taken by the government regarding the environment transformed into...
Research Article

3. Dynamic Vulnerability Analysis of Population for Flood Disaster in Urban Area

Xilei Pang
Pages: 166 - 174
Vulnerability analysis is a key step of risk analysis of natural disaster. Based on information diffusion theory and incomplete information, it analyzes the changes of the affected population in urban flood and identifies the function relationship between the hazard (rainstorm) and disaster-bearing body...
Research Article

4. Internal Exposure Simulation Based on Exposure Related Dose Estimating Model

Qian Zhang, Deyin Huang, Mao Liu, Minyan Li
Pages: 175 - 184
n this paper, occupational chemical poisons’ physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models are established to simulate metabolic processes in vivo based on exposure simulation software- exposure related dose estimating model (ERDEM). PBPK model establishing progress is described based on the development...
Research Article

5. WD-RBF Model and its Application of Hydrologic Time Series Prediction

Dengfeng Liu, Dong Wang, Yuankun Wang, Lachun Wang, Xinqing Zou
Pages: 185 - 191
Accurate prediction for hydrological time series is the precondition of water hazards prevention. A method of radial basis function network based on wavelet de-nosing (WD-RBF) was proposed according to the nonlinear problem and noise in hydrologic time series. Wavelet coefficients of each scale were...
Research Article

6. Assessment Research of Bijie Drought Risk Based On Cloud Model

Ying He
Pages: 192 - 200
This paper chooses 8 cities and counties of Bijie area as the research target. With the research foundation of natural disaster risk theory and drought risk formation principle, we start from dangerousness, exposure , vulnerability and the ability to prevent disaster to filter out 23 indexes range from...
Research Article

7. Water Security Risk Assessment of the Yellow River Basin Based on Constrained-Random Weight and Cloud Model

Song Chenye, Zhang Ren, Zhou Aixia, Hong Mei
Pages: 201 - 209
Present risk assessment methods so far were majorly based on the primary knowledge and were incapable of combining uncertainty into risk assessment outputs. In order to solve this problem, a new methodology for risk assessment using constrained-random weight method and cloud model is introduced here...