A Prediction Model for Spread of Ebola Virus

DOI

10.2991/wartia-16.2016.229How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Ebola, spread,SIR

Abstract

The 2014 Ebola outbreak is an ongoing epidemic of the Ebola virus disease in West Africa causing many deaths and great panic. It has been declared “the largest, most complex and most severe we’ve ever seen” by the World Health Organization (WHO)[1]. This paper tries to establish a realistic, sensible, and useful model to optimize the eradication of Ebola. First, we establish a SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Removed) model [2]to reveal the natural spread process of the Ebola disease in the crowd. Then we select three countries- Guinea, Sierra Leone and Libya, where the epidemic disease is serious, to test the model. The simulation result fits well with the true data.

Copyright

© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Zhuo Chen
PY  - 2016/05
DA  - 2016/05
TI  - A Prediction Model for Spread of Ebola Virus
BT  - Proceedings of the 2016 2nd Workshop on Advanced Research and Technology in Industry Applications
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1079
EP  - 1082
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/wartia-16.2016.229
DO  - 10.2991/wartia-16.2016.229
ID  - Chen2016/05
ER  -