Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response

Volume 6, Issue 3, October 2016

1. Editor’s Introduction

Chongfu Huang, Mu Zhang, Junxiang Zhang
Pages: 109 - 109
Review Article

2. Identifying Crisis Threats: A Partial Synthesis of the Literature on Crisis Threat Assessment with Relevance to Public Administrations

Christian Kalbassi
Pages: 110 - 121
The crisis management literature offers a host of theoretical treatises that are relevant to crisis threat assessment in public administrations; however, these insights remain non-cumulative, non-consolidated, and unstructured in a field of individual contributions. Using existing literature regarding...
Research Article

3. Connection Parameters of Heavy-tailed Operational Risk Measurement Model and Management Model

Meiling He, Shutao Qing, Jianming Mo, Xiang Gao
Pages: 122 - 134
In order to connect the heavy-tailed operational risk measurement model with management model, a model identifying the crucial supervising parameters of operational risk is built after the heavy-tailed operational VaR’s sensitivity is theoretically researched by the elasticity analysis method. Further,...
Research Article

4. Route Guidance Map for Emergency Evacuation

Lakshay, Amit Agarwal, Nomesh B. Bolia
Pages: 135 - 144
An efficient process of emergency evacuation must be guided. In the event of an evacuation instruction, a significant amount of time is spent by evacuees looking for a place of relative safety or an exit. Due to the ensuing stress and confusion evacuees try to follow others, consequently, all the exits...
Research Article

5. Spatial Inequality Analysis of Fire Risk in China

Guohui Li, Lizeng Zhao, Weiping Han, Ying Wang
Pages: 145 - 155
Gini coefficient and Lorenz curve are increasingly used to examine the inequality of wealth, income, economy, and health. The objective of the current study is to introduce Gini coefficient and Lorenz curve, coefficient of variation (CV), and spatial equilibrium index (SEI) to explore the spatial inequality...
Case Study

6. A Case Study of the Severe Convective in Bohai Sea and the Establishment of Early Warning Index on the Sightseeing Boat

Yanjun Zhou, Chengyu Yan, Yanjiang Li
Pages: 156 - 162
Using the synchronous data such as weather radar, oceanic WRF model etc., a severe convective weather process has been analyzed on August 31, 2015 in Bohai Sea area, China. The results show that the shear line moved eastward and enhanced at the 925hPa and 850hPa in Bohai Bay from 08:00 to 20:00, the...