Proceedings of the 7th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention

Spatial-temporal Distribution and Risk Analysis of Terrorist Attack Fires

Authors
Guohui Li, Cheng Wang, Lizeng Zhao, Weiping Han, Ying Wang
Corresponding Author
Guohui Li
Available Online November 2016.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-16.2016.108How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Terrorist attack fire; Power law; Gini coefficient; Risk analysis
Abstract
The word focused on the terrorist attack fires (TAFs). The frequency-fatality distribution and the spatial-temporal evolution of TAFs under the influence of targets, regions, and years were investigated. The power low and scale invariance theory was used to identify the distribution and evolution of TAFs. Gini coefficients were used to investigate the inequality of TAFs and explore the hot spots of attacks. It indicated that the frequency-fatality followed a power law distribution and had scale invariance. A smaller scaling exponent of power law corresponded to a slow decrease of frequency along with the increase of fatalities. Targets of transportation and private citizens, regions of Sub-Sahara Africa and Middle East and North Africa were associated with high fatality level. The inequality studies showed that TAFs were threatening more and more regions. TAFs tend to target the particular objectives such as business and private citizens. Comparing to the conventional fire, TAFs would cause more fatalities. This study will enable civilians and policymakers to predict the terrorist attack fires.
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Proceedings
7th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC-2016)
Part of series
Advances in Intelligent Systems Research
Publication Date
November 2016
ISBN
978-94-6252-242-8
ISSN
1951-6851
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-16.2016.108How to use a DOI?
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Guohui Li
AU  - Cheng Wang
AU  - Lizeng Zhao
AU  - Weiping Han
AU  - Ying Wang
PY  - 2016/11
DA  - 2016/11
TI  - Spatial-temporal Distribution and Risk Analysis of Terrorist Attack Fires
BT  - 7th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention (RAC-2016)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 673
EP  - 678
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-16.2016.108
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-16.2016.108
ID  - Li2016/11
ER  -