A Study on Recognition and Assessment of Agricultural Weather-related Disaster Risk
- DOI
- 10.2991/rac-16.2016.107How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- Crop; Weather-related disaster risk; Anomaly recognition; Optimal matching; Risk ranking; Risk simulation; Yield trend removing; Deviation analysis
- Abstract
In this article, crop's weather-related disaster risk would be recognized and assessed on the basis of time-serial yield data and time-serial weather data, using maize in Xiao County and rice in Lai'an County, that are located in Anhui Province, as a case study. In general, a weather-related disaster is an extreme weather event. More specifically, it is an anomalous weather event. As a consequence, crop yields are expected to appear anomalous too when anomalous weather events appear. According to such a rule, the best relationship between anomalies of crop yield and meteorological variables was figured out through optimal matching. The weather disasters were further ranked according to their contributions to the yield loss risk, and the yield loss risk-related caused by any a weather-related disaster can be assessed by simulation. Such above technologies would play an important role in crop's weather disaster-related risk management, and even support the design of crop's weather-based index insurance.
- Copyright
- © 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Zhao Sijian AU - Zhang Qiao AU - Nie Qian PY - 2016/11 DA - 2016/11 TI - A Study on Recognition and Assessment of Agricultural Weather-related Disaster Risk BT - Proceedings of the 7th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention PB - Atlantis Press SP - 664 EP - 672 SN - 1951-6851 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-16.2016.107 DO - 10.2991/rac-16.2016.107 ID - Sijian2016/11 ER -