Simulating the Need for Hospital Care for Circulatory Diseases
- DOI
- 10.2991/ahsr.k.220103.007How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- hospital care; circulatory diseases; simulating inpatient care
- Abstract
Inpatient care requires far more resources than outpatient care. In this regard, prognosing its needs is a more important component of the resource management of health organizations and the health system as a whole. It is relevant to create demand models for strategic regional planning. The purpose of this article is to present simulating inpatient care need for diseases of the circulatory system, taking into account gender characteristics. The purpose of the research is simulating inpatient care need for circulatory diseases, taking into account gender characteristics. Data of 420000 patients were used (by 210 000 males and females). The analysis was carried out in relation to the days of inpatient treatment in 6 five-year old age groups: 31–35 years old, 36–40 years old, 41–45 years old, 46–50 years old, 51–55 years old, 56–60 years old. Regression analysis was performed to simulate age dynamics of need. The degree of predictor variables influence was evaluated by calculating the residual variance. A decrease in the level of hospital care need in men in older age groups is specific to diseases characterized by increased blood pressure (I10 – I15), while in relation to the causes associated with cerebrovascular diseases (I60 – I69) and coronary heart diseases (I20 – I25), the age dynamics of need is described by increasing power functions. In women, the dynamics of demanded volumes in medical care provided in inpatient conditions, in cerebrovascular diseases (I60 – I69), diseases characterized by increased blood pressure (I10 – I15) and coronary heart diseases (I20 – I25) is characterized by an upward trend throughout the studied age period, which can be described using power function. The mathematical analysis confirmed the paramount importance of age in hospital care need provided in inpatient conditions for circulatory diseases.
- Copyright
- © 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press International B.V.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - S.N. Cherkasov AU - N.V. Savvina AU - V.S. Oleynikova AU - A.V. Fedyaeva AU - I.L. Savvina PY - 2022 DA - 2022/01/17 TI - Simulating the Need for Hospital Care for Circulatory Diseases BT - Proceedings of the Conference on Health and Wellbeing in Modern Society (CHW 2021) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 31 EP - 35 SN - 2468-5739 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/ahsr.k.220103.007 DO - 10.2991/ahsr.k.220103.007 ID - Cherkasov2022 ER -