Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference on Advanced Materials Science and Civil Engineering (AMSCE 2017)

Modeling Demand for Air Cargo in the Colombian Context

Authors
Miguel Figueroa Loaiza, Roberto Porto Solano, Ricardo Simancas, Victor Higuera Ojito
Corresponding Author
Miguel Figueroa Loaiza
Available Online April 2017.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/amsce-17.2017.31How to use a DOI?
Keywords
cargo; freight modeling; neural networks; linear regression
Abstract
In recent years the growth of air cargo has accelerated, necessitating the assessment of the challenges that this growth will in the future, in order to overcome them and continue contributing to the economic development of the country. Considering the above, this paper proposes several models to estimate demand for air cargo in Colombia, obtained through the use of methodologies such as linear regression and neural networks, which can be used to characterize the current demand and to forecast future demand scenarios given certain contexts to be set. For the estimation of the models presented, information airfreight demand of the top 19 airports in the country was used (in terms of cargo shipped), registered by the Special Administrative Unit of Civil Aeronautics in Colombia (Aerocivil) from 2005 to 2014, besides socioeconomic information on the areas of influence of such airports, obtained mostly by the Administrative Department of National Statistics (DANE) of the same country. Finally a comparison between the results obtained by each modeling methodology, finding better results with neural network models is established.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

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Proceedings
Part of series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
April 2017
ISBN
978-94-6252-337-1
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/amsce-17.2017.31How to use a DOI?
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Miguel Figueroa Loaiza
AU  - Roberto Porto Solano
AU  - Ricardo Simancas
AU  - Victor Higuera Ojito
PY  - 2017/04
DA  - 2017/04
TI  - Modeling Demand for Air Cargo in the Colombian Context
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 132
EP  - 137
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/amsce-17.2017.31
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/amsce-17.2017.31
ID  - FigueroaLoaiza2017/04
ER  -