Proceedings of the 2016 2nd Workshop on Advanced Research and Technology in Industry Applications

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A Method about Ebola Spread Forecasts Based on SIR

Authors
Han Dong
Corresponding Author
Han Dong
Available Online May 2016.
DOI
10.2991/wartia-16.2016.179How to use a DOI?
Keywords
SIR model, Ebola.
Abstract

We predicts the future trends of Ebola. Following the SIR model, we construct the similar ‘NSPC’ model to describe the fluctuation of four classified cases. Because of the discreteness of data, we replace differential equations in the NSPC model with difference equations. Then according to historical data, we can adopt the nonlinear least squares method to obtain the spread equation and trend chart.

Copyright
© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2016 2nd Workshop on Advanced Research and Technology in Industry Applications
Series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
May 2016
ISBN
10.2991/wartia-16.2016.179
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
10.2991/wartia-16.2016.179How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

risenwbib
TY  - CONF
AU  - Han Dong
PY  - 2016/05
DA  - 2016/05
TI  - A Method about Ebola Spread Forecasts Based on SIR
BT  - Proceedings of the 2016 2nd Workshop on Advanced Research and Technology in Industry Applications
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 848
EP  - 851
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/wartia-16.2016.179
DO  - 10.2991/wartia-16.2016.179
ID  - Dong2016/05
ER  -