Dynamic Risk Analysis on City Waterlogging Disaster Based on Scenario Simulation

DOI

10.2991/rac-16.2016.115How to use a DOI?

Keywords

City waterlogging, Dynamic risk, Hazard, Disaster bearing-body, Scenario

Abstract

In the view of systematicness and uncertainty of disaster risk, the paper firstly adopts parameter estimation statistical algorithm, information diffusion model and geographic information space analysis technology to analyze hazard occurrence possibility, affected population vulnerability and rainstorm disaster simulation according to the data we have. Then, it uses the comprehensive risk assessment to calculate the dynamic risk year by year. Finally, it gives dynamic risk scenarios for the city waterlogging disaster in different rainfall conditions in the coming five years (2016-2020).

Copyright

© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Xilei Pang
AU  - Chongfu Huang
AU  - Yingju Zhang
PY  - 2016/11
DA  - 2016/11
TI  - Dynamic Risk Analysis on City Waterlogging Disaster Based on Scenario Simulation
BT  - Proceedings of the 7th Annual Meeting of Risk Analysis Council of China Association for Disaster Prevention
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 712
EP  - 720
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/rac-16.2016.115
DO  - 10.2991/rac-16.2016.115
ID  - Pang2016/11
ER  -