An Algorithm for Calculating Collision Probability of Spacecraft and Short-term Debris Cloud Based on Binomial Distribution

DOI

10.2991/icmeit-17.2017.26How to use a DOI?

Keywords

spacecraft; space collision; debris cloud; collision probability.

Abstract

This paper introduces the calculation process of collision probability between spacecraft and short-term debris cloud. On the base of the time integral method about collision probability calculation, the time required for the spacecraft to travel through the debris cloud by the way of "risk radius"; On the base of "quasi mean probability" and the form of binomial distribution, reestablished the mathematical expression for calculating the spacecraft and space debris collision probability, which is more consistent with the actual situation. Finally, by sample analysis, the rationality of the analytical method is validated.

Copyright

© 2017, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Yue Qi
AU  - Jiazhe Lai
AU  - Yiyong Li
AU  - Qichen Tian
PY  - 2017/05
DA  - 2017/05
TI  - An Algorithm for Calculating Collision Probability of Spacecraft and Short-term Debris Cloud Based on Binomial Distribution
BT  - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Mechatronics Engineering and Information Technology (ICMEIT 2017)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 133
EP  - 138
SN  - 2352-538X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmeit-17.2017.26
DO  - 10.2991/icmeit-17.2017.26
ID  - Qi2017/05
ER  -