An Algorithm for Calculating Collision Probability of Spacecraft and Short-term Debris Cloud Based on Binomial Distribution
Yue Qi, Jiazhe Lai, Yiyong Li, Qichen Tian
Available Online May 2017.
- https://doi.org/10.2991/icmeit-17.2017.26How to use a DOI?
- spacecraft; space collision; debris cloud; collision probability.
- This paper introduces the calculation process of collision probability between spacecraft and short-term debris cloud. On the base of the time integral method about collision probability calculation, the time required for the spacecraft to travel through the debris cloud by the way of "risk radius"; On the base of "quasi mean probability" and the form of binomial distribution, reestablished the mathematical expression for calculating the spacecraft and space debris collision probability, which is more consistent with the actual situation. Finally, by sample analysis, the rationality of the analytical method is validated.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Yue Qi AU - Jiazhe Lai AU - Yiyong Li AU - Qichen Tian PY - 2017/05 DA - 2017/05 TI - An Algorithm for Calculating Collision Probability of Spacecraft and Short-term Debris Cloud Based on Binomial Distribution BT - 2nd International Conference on Mechatronics Engineering and Information Technology (ICMEIT 2017) PB - Atlantis Press SN - 2352-538X UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmeit-17.2017.26 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmeit-17.2017.26 ID - Qi2017/05 ER -