Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Contemporary Education and Economic Development (CEED 2018)

The Impact of Climate Change on Fragility Index: Based on Fuzzy Evaluation Model

Authors
Du Xiang-fei, Zhang Yi-xiao, Du Xiang-fei
Corresponding Author
Du Xiang-fei
Available Online December 2018.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/ceed-18.2018.62How to use a DOI?
Keywords
AHP; Fuzzy Evaluation; Climate Changing; Fragility Index
Abstract
All along, climate change has a huge impact on the development and stability of each country. It is also closely linked with the country’s fragility and even causes political ten-sions between countries. Therefore, finding the impact of climate change on the national fragility is very important for the development of China. This article focuses on how to set up a model to assess the impact of climate change on national fragilities and how to mitigate the effects of climate change through human intervention. First of all, three indicators have been chosen that measure the country’s fragility: economic factors, natural resource factors and safety factors, combined with the annual average annual precipitation to measure the impact of climate change. Through the mod-eling, a mathematical model of the relationship between the three factors and annual mean precipitation has been obtained. Based on these three factors, a fuzzy evaluation model based on analytic hierarchy process has been established to get an evaluation system of national vulnerability. Next, the effectiveness of the model across continents and cities has been tested and the conclusion is drawn that this model has a good prediction effect in the city, but more precise adjustments are needed on the continents.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

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Proceedings
1st International Conference on Contemporary Education and Economic Development (CEED 2018)
Part of series
Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research
Publication Date
December 2018
ISBN
978-94-6252-631-0
ISSN
2352-5398
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/ceed-18.2018.62How to use a DOI?
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Du Xiang-fei
AU  - Zhang Yi-xiao
AU  - Du Xiang-fei
PY  - 2018/12
DA  - 2018/12
TI  - The Impact of Climate Change on Fragility Index: Based on Fuzzy Evaluation Model
BT  - 1st International Conference on Contemporary Education and Economic Development (CEED 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/ceed-18.2018.62
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/ceed-18.2018.62
ID  - Xiang-fei2018/12
ER  -