Proceedings of the 2024 3rd International Conference on Applied Mechanics and Engineering Structures (AMES 2024)

Research on the Analysis Method of Highway Traffic Impact Under Large-Scale Emergencies with Passenger Cars as an Example

Authors
Hongchun Zhang1, Zheng Zhou2, *, Mengru Shen3
1Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China
2Beijing Center for Patent Examination Cooperation, Patent Office, State Intellectual Property Office, Beijing, China
3Key Laboratory of Comprehensive Transportation Big Data Application Technology Industry, Ministry of Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University), Beijing, China
*Corresponding author. Email: tczz_13@163.com
Corresponding Author
Zheng Zhou
Available Online 22 August 2024.
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-473-0_21How to use a DOI?
Keywords
major emergency events; expressway; attenuation factor; traffic forecast
Abstract

For the monitoring of highway network operation under the influence of large-scale emergencies, based on the historical traffic flow data, using time series and other models to predict the traffic flow that is not affected by large-scale emergencies, combined with the same spatial and temporal scales of the affected flow data, to conduct a comparative analysis, and put forward the flow judgement model based on the attenuation factor. Finally, the data of expressway passenger train operation in Guangdong Province is taken as the research object to verify. The experiment proves that the model has a good effect, which can provide support for the traffic prediction of expressway management departments in the case of large-scale emergencies, and support them to make scientific decisions in high-speed management business.

Copyright
© 2024 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2024 3rd International Conference on Applied Mechanics and Engineering Structures (AMES 2024)
Series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
22 August 2024
ISBN
978-94-6463-473-0
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
10.2991/978-94-6463-473-0_21How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2024 The Author(s)
Open Access
Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Hongchun Zhang
AU  - Zheng Zhou
AU  - Mengru Shen
PY  - 2024
DA  - 2024/08/22
TI  - Research on the Analysis Method of Highway Traffic Impact Under Large-Scale Emergencies with Passenger Cars as an Example
BT  - Proceedings of the 2024 3rd International Conference on Applied Mechanics and Engineering Structures (AMES 2024)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 197
EP  - 201
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-473-0_21
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6463-473-0_21
ID  - Zhang2024
ER  -