Search all articles
326 articles
Proceedings Article
Analysis of Civil Aviation's Passenger Turnover Based on X11-ARIMA Model
Lixin Zhang, Cuifang Yang
The analysis of civil aviation's passenger turnover is of great significance to civil aviation department. According to the data of civil aviation's passenger turnover in the last 12 years, using the X11 method, the long-term trend was separated, and the results showed that the civil aviation's passenger...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
Mechanism and block diagram model for seasonal variation of As in Jiaozhou Bay
Dongfang Yang, Qi Wang, Haixia Li, Longlei Zhang, Jun Ding
Using investigation on As in Jiaozhou Bay in April and July 1981, this paper researched the vertical distribution and seasonal variation of As contents, and defined the mechanisms. Results showed that As contents in surface and bottom waters were both in order of spring > summer. The sedimentation of...
Proceedings Article
Spatial-Temporal Characteristics Analysis of Urban Air Quality and Its Evolution Pattern in Henan Province
Kaiguang Zhang, Mingting Ba, Hongling Meng, Yanmin Sun
Urban air pollution is one of the most urgent problems to be solved in the process of China’s economic development and urbanization. Aiming at the spatial-temporal evolution problem of air quality in Henan province, this paper, based on the daily average data of urban air quality index of Henan province...
Proceedings Article
Time Series Forecasting of Active Power Using ARIMA, SARIMA and Hybrid Models
Khairul Eahsun Fahim, Liyanage C. De Silva, Hayati Yassin
This research compares the ARIMA, SARIMAX, and hybrid Holt-Winters with SARIMAX models for projecting Active Power consumption using hourly observational data from January 1, 2023, to December 31, 2023. For effective energy management and resource allocation in situations with fluctuating demand, an...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
The Monitoring of Temperature Effect on the Supporting Structure of Main Active Reflector for FAST
Qingmei Wnag, Ming Zhu, Qiming Wang, Lei Yang, Zheng Lei
The variations of ambient temperature can change the state of the supporting structure of the reflector for Five-hundred-meter Aperture Spherical Radio Telescope. The purpose of this research is to monitor the temperature and the varieties to find their relationship. Firstly, the temperature monitoring...
Proceedings Article
Vertical distribution and settling process of Pb in Jiaozhou bay
Dongfang Yang, Fengyou Wang, Xiuqin Yang, Yunjie Wu, Sixi Zhu
Based on the investigation data on Pb in Jiaozhou Bay in May, September and October in 1983, were analyzed the horizontal and seasonal distribution of Pb. The results in this paper showed that Pb contents in surface and bottom waters were closed in the bay mouth in different seasons. For seasonal distributions,...
Research Article
A Multiobjective Fuzzy Chance Constrained Programming Model for Land Allocation in Agricultural Sector: A case study
Animesh Biswas, Nilkanta Modak
Pages: 196 - 211
In this article a fuzzy multiobjective chance constrained programming model is used for modeling and solving land allocation problems efficiently with the help of fuzzy goal programming. Optimal production of seasonal crops and related expenditures are considered from the viewpoint of proper utilization...
Proceedings Article
Guizhou Cigarette Sales Prediction based on Seasonal Decomposition MLP
Jian Tan
We combine with seasonal decomposition method, and employ multi-level sensor prediction (MLP, Multilayer Preceptor) method, take prediction of 2014 cigarette sales in Guizhou as example, monthly and quarterly cycle MLP prediction models were put forward, results of the prediction precision were analyzed,...
Proceedings Article
Seasonal Model and Its Application in Short-term Forecasting
Xiangrong Jiang, Liping Xu, Yingying Cui
With economic activity changes periodically as the seasons vary, the time series of macroeconomic data is usually seasonal. This paper is different from the traditional way of proceeding seasonal adjustment before analyzing the macroeconomic time series. Instead, we propose a seasonal prediction model...
Proceedings Article
A comparison study of different latent thermal energy storage roles in heating systems with heat pump
Fran Torbarina, Kristian Lenic, Anica Trp, Igor Wolf
In this paper, energy efficiencies of two heating systems with heat pump, latent thermal energy storage (LTES) and solar collectors that are working in moderate continental climate conditions were numerically analysed and compared. The two considered LTES roles are the heat source for the heat pump (LTES...
Proceedings Article
Application and Improvement Analysis of the ARIMA Model in the Financial Field
Haomiao Xu
This paper discusses the application and optimization methods of time series models in the financial field, focusing on the effectiveness of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models and their hybrid models in actual cases. The prediction results of several hybrid models selected in this...
Proceedings Article
Land Cover Analysis and Vegetation Diversity in Malagufuk Forest, Southwest Papua: Implication for Sustainable Nature Tourism Development
Amatus Turot, Chandra Dewana Boer, Paulus Matius, Jonni Marwa, Rustam Rustam, Yosep Ruslim, Rochadi Kristiningrum
The Malagufuk Forest in Southwest Papua Province is a lowland tropical forest in Papua. It has a diversity of species and is managed independently by the local community, maintained, and has initiatives for ecotourism. This study was conducted to examine land cover patterns and vegetation composition...
Proceedings Article
A Techno-Economic Analysis of Battery Energy Storage Systems in Combination with Micro CHP Systems for Single-Family Houses
Peter Stenzel, Nils Heyermann, Maren Wenzel, Peter Markewitz, Martin Robinius, Rolf Albus, Klaus Görner, Detlef Stolten
In this paper, the performance of battery storage systems in combination with micro combined heat and power (CHP) systems are systematically investigated by computer simulations for the supply of single-family houses in various settings. As input parameters for the analysis, energy demand-time series...
Proceedings Article
BreatheSafe – Predictive Analysis of Air Pollution Levels
Anushka Jadhav, Indrajit Joshi, Sampada Gupta, Siddharth Joisar, Shweta S. Ashtekar
The Air Quality Index is a good indication tool for the monitoring of air quality in smart cities and the assessment of the cleanliness or pollution level of air. Predictions of AQI values can facilitate people and authorities in taking precautionary steps like avoiding exposure to the outdoors on days...
Proceedings Article
Distribution and aggregation process of Cd in Jiaozhou Bay
Dongfang Yang, Sixi Zhu, Fengyou Wang, Xiuqin Yang, Xiaoli Zhao
This paper analyzed the vertical and seasonal distribution of Cd in Jiaozhou Bay bottom waters in 1983. Results showed that Cd contents ranged from 0.13-0.53 g L-1, indicated that the pollution level of Cd in Jiaozhou Bay was very low in the early stage of reform and opening-up. Cd contents in surface...
Proceedings Article
Analysis of Port Handing Capacity Based on X11-ARIMA Model
Lixin Zhang, Cuifang Yang, Zhenqi Fan
The analysis of port handing capacity is of great significance to the construction and planning of the port. Using the data of the last 12 years, X11 method is used to separate the long-term trend. The results show that the port handing capacity tends to increase linearly. We use difference method to...
Proceedings Article
Organizational and Management Features of the Automated Trip Payment System’s Implementation in Public Transport of the Republic of Crimea
Margarita Vakhovskaya
The article analyses the practice of the automated trip payment system’s (ATPS) implementation in public transport of the Republic of Crimea in terms of its organizational and management peculiarities. In order to achieve the objective of the article, the following problems have been solved: the characteristics...
Research Article
Risk Factors associated with COVID-19 Infection among Contacts of Index Cases in Saudi Arabia: A Case-Control Study
Osama Kiram, Shumukh Alhejaili, Alwaleed Abdulhameed Alharbi, Ammar Alrudayan, Kurubaran Ganasegeran, Mohammad A. Alharbi, Mariam A. Alharbi, Sami Abdo Radman Al-Dubai
Pages: 188 - 193
This study was aimed to determine the risk factors associated with COVID-19 infection among contacts of index cases in Saudi Arabia. This unmatched case–control study was conducted among contacts of confirmed COVID-19 cases in April and May 2020 in Al-Madinah, Saudi Arabia. A total of 118 cases and 115...
Series: Advances in Physics Research
Proceedings Article
Seasonal Modelling of Radio Refractivity in Jos, Nigeria
O. M. Durodola, O. E. Samuel, D. O. Nnaike, E. E. Gideon
The refractivity of the lower atmosphere is responsible for several anomalies in microwave propagation such as ducting, scintillation, refraction, fading, including range and elevation errors in radar and data acquisition. It is needful to develop models which could be used to predict refractivity. In...
Research Article
Is Google Trends a reliable tool for digital epidemiology? Insights from different clinical settings
Gianfranco Cervellin, Ivan Comelli, Giuseppe Lippi
Pages: 185 - 189
Internet-derived information has been recently recognized as a valuable tool for epidemiological investigation. Google Trends, a Google Inc. portal, generates data on geographical and temporal patterns according to specified keywords. The aim of this study was to compare the reliability of Google Trends...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
Forecasting with ARIMA and LSTM in Bali Retail Industry
Wayan Gede Suka Parwita, Putu Eka Suryadana, Gede Sugita Aryandana
Food waste significantly contributes to global greenhouse gas emissions, water and air pollution, and socio-economic issues, including in Bali Province. In Bali, increased tourism correlates with population growth and a rise in organic waste, reaching up to 59.10% of total waste. This is largely dominated...
Proceedings Article
AI-Driven Water Quality Index Prediction Framework for River Monitoring in India: Modeling, Explainability, and Policy Implications
Maya Kurulekar, Mohit Sapat, Richa Panchgaur
Proper evaluation of river water quality is the key to the sustenance of the eco-system, sustainable use of resources, and the preservation of human health. In the current work, we will present an artificial intelligence-based algorithm that will predict the Water quality index (WQI) of Indian rivers...
Research Article
Analysis of Ultraviolet Radiation Characteristics and Related Factors in Huangshan Scenic Area
Jianyong Xu, Conggui Zhang, Liming Ren
Pages: 177 - 183
Using the ultraviolet observation data of Huangshan Scenic area from March 2017 to February 2018, this paper analyzes the relationship between the daily, monthly and seasonal variation characteristics of ultraviolet radiation intensity and its related meteorological elements. The results show that the...
Proceedings Article
Genes Polymorphism in Children with Diseases of the Nervous System Living in the Conditions of the Far North of Russia
A.A. Mazunina, O.V. Dolgikh, K.P. Luzhetsky
A comparative genetic examination of children with varying degrees of asthenization of the nervous system, living in the Far North of Russia was carried out. The polymerase chain reaction method on BioRAD CFX96 Real Time System was used to study the following polymorphisms: A1166C of AGTR1 angiotensin...
Proceedings Article
Species Distribution Modeling Reveals Autecological Determinants of Vachellia nilotica in Java and the Lesser Sunda Islands
Sutomo, Jalma Giring Sukmawati, Hendra Helmanto, Hery Kurniawan, Eko Prasetyo, Nida Humaida
This study investigates the autecological determinants influencing the distribution of Vachellia nilotica (L.) P.J.H. Hurter & Mabb., an invasive species in Java and the Lesser Sunda Islands, Indonesia. Using a Species Distribution Modeling (SDM) approach, we aimed to identify the environmental factors...
Proceedings Article
Numerical Analysis of Seismic Response of Bridge Pile Foundation in Seasonally Frozen Soil Regions
Wenjing Zhang
In seasonal permafrost regions, the freezing and thawing of seasonally active layers can significantly change the site ground vibration characteristics and thus have a great impact on the seismic response of buildings. In this study, a three-dimensional finite element model of pile foundation is established...
Proceedings Article
Complete experimental performance characterisation of 13X for domestic thermochemical energy storage applications using a novel high-pressure DSC system
Daniel Mahon, Philip Eames
One problem with utilising solar renewable energy sources, for domestic space heating and domestic hot water in the UK is the mismatch between energy supply and energy demand due to the seasonal variation. One way to mitigate this phenomenon is to utilise seasonal thermochemical heat storage. 13X molecular...
Proceedings Article
Orderly power utilization oriented twice clustering load data analysis
X. Chen, K. Shi, G.J. Xu, D.Z. Li, P. Xu, H. Ye
As the requirement of smart grid increasing, a twice clustering algorithm is proposed here to extract the characteristic of load data curve. In addition, the calculating algorithm of load performance is also provided to analyze the curves, including seasonal maximum load curve, seasonal safe load curve,...
Proceedings Article
Capacity Estimation of a Utility-Scale Lithium Ion Battery in an Autarchic Environment by Comparing two Different Battery Models
Stamatia Dimopoulou, Julia Kohl, Corinna Klapproth
The autarchic communities are an attractive scenario that more and more local actors strive to achieve. In electricity autonomous cases a battery system stands as prerequisite to succeed renewables time shifting due to the intermittent nature of decentralized generation. In the present study the local...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
Amphibious Architecture as a Resilient Solution for Flood-Prone Regions: Assessing Viability in Bangladesh's Seasonal Flood Zones
S. Sarkar, H. Debnath, K. Karmaker
Bangladesh, being completely of a low-lying landscape and extensive river systems, highly exposes its terrain to seasonal flooding that inundates roughly 25% of the lands in this country every year. This is an escalating threat which climate change and rapid urbanization are intensifying further. In...
Proceedings Article
Challenges Associated With The Construction And Operation Of Seasonal Storage For A Small Solar District Heating System: A Multi-Objective Optimization Approach
Mohamed Hany Abokersh, Manel Vallès, Luisa F. Cabeza, Dieter Boer
Solar assisted district heating systems (SDHS) is a promising pathway towards sustainable transaction to clean energy production. However, the technical performance variation due to the misestimation of the seasonal storage tank (SST) combined with inadequate financial assessment and insufficient environmental...
Proceedings Article
Differences in the Amount of Karst Groundwater Use Based on Education Level and Availability of Other Water Sources as Well as Seasonal Factors
Eko Budiyanto, Nugroho Hari Purnomo, Muzayanah, Aida Kurniawati, Millenia Rahma Jayanti, Sabrina Aulia Rizki
Karst underground water is the foundation for meeting water needs for most people in the karst region. Therefore, its sustainability needs to be maintained properly through good management. Management of underground karst water really needs to pay attention to the characteristics of the user and environmental...
Proceedings Article
The Method of Intelligent Railway Alignment Path Generation Based on Deep Q Network
Tianxi Wang, Baocheng Wang
Traditional railway route selection requires manual fieldwork over long periods, which is physically demanding and subject to seasonal weather conditions, leading to an uneven annual production cycle and low efficiency. With the introduction of high-tech methods and the significant development of artificial...
Proceedings Article
Model Identification and Derivation for Double Seasonal Integrated Moving Average (DSARIMA) Model
Puteri Aiman Syahirah Rosman, Nur Haizum Abd Rahman
Double Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (DSARIMA) model is an extension of the single SARIMA that is incorporated in modelling data with two seasonality. Model identification, parameter estimation and diagnostic checking are the steps in the modelling. However, the model identification...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
Features of Remote Determination of Humus Content in Arable Soils
Anatoly F. Gurov, Vera A. Shirokova, Alla O. Khutorova, Yulia D. Yurova
The paper considers the influence of different covers, such as crop residues, soil crust, etc. on the remote determination of humus content in soils of agricultural land. It is shown that in laboratory conditions with dry soil there is a close relationship between the humus content and spectral reflective...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
Human Activities Impact Assessment and its Mapping in Sharyn Gol River Basin
Unurnyam Jugnee, Bolormaa Tsooj
The environment condition in the central economic region of Mongolia has been degrading due to overgrazing, legal and illegal mining, arable land, expansion of settlement areas, migration to cities from rural areas, population growth. Determining the intensity and spatial distribution of the human impact...
Proceedings Article
Decentralized city district hydrogen storage system based on the electrochemical reduction of carbon dioxide to formate
Daniel Lust, Paul Rößner, Marcus Brennenstuhl, Elias Klemm, Bernd Plietker, Ursula Eicker
High fluctuations of renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar energy, require storage capacity to maintain supply reliability. For long term storage energy carriers to substitute fossil fuels must be found. The reduction of carbon dioxide to liquid substances such as formic acid or formate with...
Proceedings Article
Regional Rainfall Disparities and Monsoon Dynamics in Kerala: Insights for Climate Adaptation
Hamna Kazhakam Chalil, I. Sahadudheen, C. Mohammed Kasim
This study analyses seventy years (1951–2020) of rainfall patterns in Kerala, focusing on long-term variability, extreme events, monsoon divergence, and seasonal rainfall concentration. Monthly rainfall data from 83 stations across all 14 districts were used to create a time series at both district and...
Proceedings Article
The Community Size Effect on the Techno-Economic Performance of Solar District Heating Systems
Mohamed Hany Abokersh, Manel Vallès, Luisa F. Cabeza, Dieter Boer
The Solar assisted district heating system (SDHS) is a promising path to accelerate the sustainable movement toward clean energy production in order to solve the challenges of the energy crisis and climate change. However, in real conditions the SDHS is often suffering from a mismatch between the predict...
Proceedings Article
Seasonal and Meteorological Influences on the Concentration of PM2.5 at CAMS-3 in Dhaka City using Decadal Data
Md Shoaib Chowdhury, Chowdhury A. Hossain
Researchers have studied meteorological influences on PM2.5 concentration in Dhaka City with limited data and there is a need for further study. This study analyzes time series data (i.e., decadal data: 2013-2022) encompassing the most recent years to better understand long term state of PM2.5 concentration...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
Assessment of Climatological Impact on Renewable Energy Sources in the Gulf of Finland
Nikita Kostik, Alexander Bobyl
Study of the joint daily variability of wind speed and solar activity in the Gulf of Finland and its impact on renewable energy sources. The combined distribution of the daily mean insolation and wind speeds shows that insolation has a much stronger seasonal cycle than wind, due to the tilt of the Earth’s...
Proceedings Article
Statistical Analysis on the Book Borrowing Quantity of University Library—Taking Qilu University of Technology as an Example
Yulin Huang, Zhongshang Liu, Yongxue Liu, Wenrui Qu
According to the library book borrowing amount data from June 2013 to December 2018 at Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), this work studied the statistical laws of data series of borrowing quantity. Based on the combination of seasonal effects, long-term trends, and random...
Proceedings Article
Extreme Climate and Agricultural Product Price Volatility: Empirical Evidence from the Futures Market
Zishuo Lian, Surui Zhang, Yawen Lin, Qianting Ma, Rong Sun
As the frequency of extreme climate events escalates, the financial systems face significant challenges. This paper empirically examines the effects of extreme climate on the volatility of agricultural product futures prices by constructing a network of agricultural product futures. The findings reveal...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
The analysis of the prosperity indexes for Guangxi's electricity market
Li-Juan Qin, Xu Yan, Han Shuai, Xi-Qiao Lin, Bo Zeng, Li-Ke Gao
The research object of electricity marketing is electricity consumption market. It is of great significance for judging the trend of its development and guiding the decision maker to analyze the prosperity of electricity consumption market. This paper put forward an entire system from disposal to filter...
Proceedings Article
Assessment of Various Rainfall Bias Correction Techniques in Peninsular Malaysia
Yashotha Satianesan, Wei Lun Tan, Lloyd Ling
Climate impact assessment models can have outputs that are sensitive to biases on the local scale. Hence, bias correction methods are used to amend the distribution of the climate impact assessment model in order to match the local observations. A great deal of errors can be removed from the model after...
Proceedings Article
A Study on the Relationship between Accrued Income and Earnings Quality of Listed Companies in the Hotel Industry
Huiyue Liu, Chenyan Hu
As a creditor's right of enterprises, accrued income directly influences the actual earnings level of enterprises. Based on the seasonal data from 2009Q1 - 2015Q3, by selecting the relevant indicators of accounts receivable as the indicators of measuring accrued income, an empirical test on the relevance...
Proceedings Article
Renewable Metal Fuels as Sustainable Seasonal Energy Storage
Covering Winter Peaks of Heat and Electricity Demand
Yvonne I. Baeuerle, Michel Y. Haller
Renewable Metal Fuels (ReMeF) have great potential to store renewable energy for several months. A thorough criteria evaluation of possible candidates was conducted, considering (1) abundance in the Earth's crust, (2) world reserves, (3) market price and its development, (4) energy density, and...
Proceedings Article
The Smart Combination of a Novel MicroCHP, PVs and Various Energy Storage Possibilities to Provide the Household Energy Needs All year Round
Joseph Cilia, Andrea Brincat, Carmel Ellul, James Attard, Neville Azzopardi, Matthew Schembri, Redeemer Axisa, Markus Thiry, David Cilia
The problem of seasonal energy storage, where excess renewable energy in the summer months is stored to cater for the winter season, is an active topic being researched [1, 2]. The solution being proposed in this paper targets residential homes, and is the result of the development of a microCHP with...
Series: Advances in Engineering Research
Proceedings Article
Effects of hydropower construction on spatial-temporal change of land use and landscape pattern A Case Study of Jinghong,Yunnan, China
Shiyi Jiang, Heping Zeng, Minxia Cao, Zhantai Wang, Huiqun Huang
Selecting Jinghong hydropower station as a study case, we studied the spatial-temporal change of land use and landscape pattern during 2004,2009 and 2013 based on the application of RS interpretation , ArcGIS 10.1 analysis and Fragstats3.4. The results showed that: 1) Area of tea garden, traffic land,...
Proceedings Article
Prediction Farmer Exchange Rate Comparative Method of Analysis Holth-Winters Smoothing and Seasonal ARIMA
Harizahayu, Amin Harahap, Muhammad Fathoni, Hari Sumardi
The purpose of this research was to predict seasonal time series data using the Holt-Winters exponential smoothing additive model and the Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). The data used in this study is data on farmer term of trade at Nort Sumatera in 2016–2020, the source of...