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326 articles
Proceedings Article

Research and Practice of Tobacco Industrial Companies' Sales Forecast Based on ARMA Model, Seasonal Fluctuation and Policy Factor

Qiao Shi, Yong Cen, Liping Xu, Lina Zhang
In the wave of marketization reform, the tobacco industry has been gradually transforming to the market-driven planning model from fully planned economic model. In the tobacco market demand forecast, multiple reasons have been showing impact on each other like industry's own growth, seasonal fluctuations,...

Explainable LSTM-Based Demand Forecasting for Multi-Channel Retail Supply Chain Performance Analysis

Tran Ha Thu, N. D. Quang-Anh, Hai Yen Nguyen, Thao Phuong Pham, Duong Le Tung Ba, Chi Tuong La, Anh Minh Hoang, Thi-Minh-Ngoc Luu, Zhang Yuemei, Ha Manh Hung
Modern retail supply chains face unprecedented complexity due to multi-channel distribution, demand volatility, and increasing customer expectations. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation framework integrating ten state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms with explainable AI methodologies...
Proceedings Article

Distribution and Diffusive Flux of Endogenous Nitrogen in an Urban Eutrophic Lake

Xin Li
A field study was performed in an urban eutrophic lake of Tianjin to investigate the distribution and diffusive flux of nitrogen species. Dissolved organic nitrogen (DON), accounting for about 98% of total nitrogen (TN), was the dominant component in sediment. Ammonium (NH4+ₓN) was the main component...
Proceedings Article

Vertical Water's Effect on Pb Contents in Jiaozhou Bay 1987

Dongfang Yang, Haixia Li, Xiaolong Zhang, Qi Wang, Jun Ding
This paper analyzed the seasonal variation, vertical change, and horizontal distributions of Pb contents in Jiaozhou Bay, China. Results showed that Pb contents in surface waters in May, July and November in Jiaozhou Bay 1987 were 1.95-3.02 ?g L-1, 18.76-22.02 ?g L-1 and 3.98-24.64 ?g L-1, respectively,...
Proceedings Article

Study on Pore Size Characteristics of Coal Gangue Waste Modified by Ionic Curing Agent under Freeze-thaw Effect

Taofeng Zhao, Jianjun Zhang
As an industrial solid waste with large reserves in China, the poor physical properties of coal gangue cannot meet the durability requirements needed for applications such as backfill enhancement for open-pit mining in seasonal freezing areas, roadbed engineering, and ecological restoration of gangue...
Proceedings Article

A Survey on Change Detection in Synthetic Aperture Radar Satellite Images

Saili Sable, Omkar Unde, Deepak Singh, Aditya Jadhav
Change detecting in Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite images has garnered significant attention for its applications in urban planning, disaster management, and environmental monitoring. SAR’s ability to operate under all weather and lighting conditions makes it indispensable for monitoring dynamic...

Seasonal Incidence of Guillain-Barre Syndrome in Rumah Sakit Islam Jemursari Surabaya

S Syifak, D Yuniati
Guillain Barre Syndrome (GBS) is the leading cause of acute flaccid paralysis. Former study showed the highest GBS incidence, particularly in April-May, during seasonal transition from rainy to summer period. Indonesia has only limited study about demographic profile of GBS incidence. Rumah Sakit Islam...

The Use of Hana Ecolexicon as Kigo and Form of the Story in Matsuo Basho and Natsume Souseki’s Haiku

Aron Meko Mbete, I Gusti Ayu Agung Wira Premagitari, Agus Darma Yoga Pratama
Haiku is a poem consisting of 5-7-5 syllables with seasonal references called kigo (季語). Its short form is the hallmark of this poem. This aim study focuses on the use of The Hana Ecolexicon as Kigo and the form of the story in Matsuo Basho and Natsume Souseki’s Haiku. This research on Haiku (Japanese...
Proceedings Article

Downscaling Future Climate Changes Using SDSM Under RCP Scenarios in Selected Areas of Bangladesh

Md. Mizanur Rahman, Aysha Akter
This study used the Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) to project climate change patterns, focusing on mean annual, seasonal, and monthly precipitation under two Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios: RCP4.5, representing moderate emissions, and RCP8.5, reflecting high emissions. The predictions...

Transformable Systems of Spatial Structures Based on Bionic Analogues

N.G. Tsaritova, N.A. Buzalo, A.A. Tumasov, I.D. Platonova, A. I. Kurbanov, A.A. Kalinina
The authors consider the classification of methods for the formation of spatial core coatings based on the proposed kinematic systems. The possibility of using kinematic transformable systems in pre-fabricated seasonal coverings of a small span for the construction of greenhouses, warehouses, tents,...
Proceedings Article

Seasonal variations of Pb in bottom waters in Jiaozhou Bay during 1979-1983

Dongfang Yang, Fengyou Wang, Sixi Zhu, Ming Wang, Xiuqin Yang
Based on investigation data on Pb in bottom waters in Jiaozhou Bay in different months during 1979-1983, we analyzed the seasonal variations of Pb contents and pollution levels. Results showed that the pollution levels during 1979-1983 were light/moderate, and the pollution levels in the bay mouth were...
Proceedings Article

Hybrid Prediction Model-based Set point Alteration Control Scheme using AI for OC-OTEC Plant to Improve its Reliability

S. Sutha, Biren Pattnaik, G. Mohanapriya, N. Pappa
The Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) system is a sustainable technology that harnesses power and freshwater from seawater by utilizing the temperature gradient between surface seawater and deep seawater, making it suitable for remote islands. However, it is highly influenced by variations in Sea...

Tripartite Evolutionary Game of Government-Industry-University in Seasonal-Transportation of Freight Enterprises Under the Background of Carbon-Peaking and Carbon-Neutrality Goals

Kaiwei Jia, Xia Wu
China is now the world’s highest carbon emission country. All circles focus is how to achieve carbon neutrality in just 40 years. China’s carbon neutrality path will directly affect the future of the global industrial layout and investment direction. It is an important measure to promote the realization...
Proceedings Article

The Potential of Hydrogen-Based Storage Systems in Sub-saharan Africa

Sebastian Schneider, Michele Velenderic, Maximilian Staib, Elias Küpper, Semih Severengiz
Photovoltaic power systems and mini-grids with energy storage in form of electrochemical batteries are becoming more widespread and are playing an increasingly important role in energy supply. By design, photovoltaic-based power systems often generate a surplus of electrical energy during favourable...

Research on the Spatial and Temporal Structure Evolution of Inbound Tourism in Hainan Province

Fuyuan Bao
To promote the development of inbound tourism market in Hainan province, it is essential to explore the spatial and temporal structure evolution of inbound tourism. This paper compares the seasonal intensity index of the past years, summarizes the years in which the inbound tourism of Hainan Province...
Proceedings Article

Factors Affecting Temporal Variations of Cyanobacteria Composition and Microcystins in a Hypertrophic Urban Lake, Beijiing

Qu Jiangqi, Zhang Qingjing, Zhang Mo, Jia Chengxia, Liu Pan, Yang Mu, Zhu Hua, Li Wentong
At present, the occurrence of harmful algal bloom has become a serious environmental problem in China. A survey of the seasonal variations of algal bloom characteristics has been investigated in a shallow hypertrophic urban lake from June to October 2013 in this study. LC-MS results indicated that there...
Proceedings Article

Forecasting seasonal time series with computational intelligence: contribution of a combination of distinct methods.

Martin Stepnicka, Juan Peralta Donate, Paulo Cortez, Lenka Vavríková, German Gutierrez
Accurate time series forecasting are important for displaying the manner in which the past continues to affect the future and for planning our day to day activities. In recent years, a large literature has evolved on the use of computational intelligence in many forecasting applications. In this paper,...
Proceedings Article

Detection of Flood-Prone Areas Using Geospatial Data with Deep Learning Method Approach

Leni Novianti, Ade Silvia Handayani, Nyayu Latifah Husni, Darma Prabudi, Hetty Meileni, Marlina Sylvia
The flood problem that happens in Palembang City occurs due to seasonal tidal floods and flooding as a result of inundation caused by rainwater which results in the overflow of the Musi River. The Musi River that flows through the City of Palembang canon accommodates the increasing flow of water and...

Local Wisdom in Maritime Knowledge Systems and Traditional Fisherfolk Governance: A Literature Review

Melda Agriya Ningsih Nurdin, Rabina Yunus, Irwan Ade Saputra
This article examines significance of local wisdom in shaping maritime knowledge systems and traditional governance among fishing communities in Indonesia. Using a literature review approach, this study reveals that traditional knowledge transmitted across generations through observation, oral traditions,...

Supply Chain Management Analysis of Sport Obermeyer

Yiran Dong, Zhaohua Su, Yutong Wan, Xiaole Yu
Sport Obermeyer, an Aspen-based skiwear manufacturer, operates in an intricate global supply chain, facing unique challenges associated with forecasting demand and managing inventory. Navigating the sportswear market, which is marked by rapid trend changes and seasonal fluctuations, adds an additional...
Proceedings Article

Early Warning System of Production and Marketing Price of Seasonal Agricultural Products

Fang Huang, Xinjiang Xie, Cui Wang, Pingzeng Liu
In view of the problem of extraordinary instability of agricultural products' prices, especially regional and seasonal agricultural products, an early warning system of regional seasonal agricultural products based on the linkage of production and marketing price was designed. The system takes ginger...
Proceedings Article

A research on the vertical migration process and background value of cyanide in Jiaozhou Bay

DongFang Yang, Danfeng Yang, Sixi Zhu, Yunjie Wu, Fengyou Wang
We analyzed the seasonal variation, horizontal distribution, vertical distribution and background value of cyanide in the bay mouth of Jiaozhou Bay in 1983. Cyanide contents in the bay mouth were changing a lot by means of vertical water’s effect. Cyanide contents in both surface and bottom waters were...
Proceedings Article

Seasonal Impacts on National Highway Crashes in Bangladesh

Fariha Nazneen Tisha, Armana Sabiha Huq
Road traffic accidents (RTAs) happen more often in developing countries such as Bangladesh than in developed countries. Bangladesh's national highway crash scenarios are diverse with six seasons: Grisma (Summer), Barsha (Monsoon), Sharat (Autumn), Hemanta (Late Autumn), Shit (Winter), Basanta (Spring)....
Proceedings Article

Analysis to the Potential of Rainwater Resources Utilization in Kunming area

Yu-ling Zou, Jian-wu Ma
Water shortage is very serious in kunming area. Based on the precipitation and evaporation data of 2001-2011 of Kunming provided by Yunnan Meteorological Bureau, the article analyzes the change features of annual, seasonal and monthly rainfall and evaporation over the last 11 years. What's more, by referring...

Strengthening the Resilience of Coastal Communities through the Customary Law System: The Case of Wabula Customary Sea Governance

Safrin Salam, Agus Slamet
This study aims to examine how the customary law system, especially the governance of the Wabula customary sea based on the Buton Regent Regulation No. 13 of 2018, contributes to strengthening the resilience of coastal communities through sustainable management of marine resources. This study uses a...
Proceedings Article

Inter-Annual Water Level Variations of the Yangtze-Poyang Confluence in Response to the Dam-Induced Flow-Sediment Changes

Zican He, Xin Zeng, Yiming Chen, Shiming Yao, Hualong Luan
Over the past 60 years, the water level in the Yangtze-Poyang systems has undergone significant adjustments due to the combined effects of climate change and various human activities, profoundly impacting the residents’ livelihoods, economic and social development, and the ecological environment. Here,...
Proceedings Article

Study on Vehicle-Induced Dynamic Response under Seasonal Temperature Variations

Qi Zhang, Xiaomin Huang
Although research on vehicle-bridge coupling during passage over expansion joints is relatively mature, the impact of seasonal temperature variations on the dynamic response of these joints has not been sufficiently explored. To address this gap, this study conducted a year-long real-time monitoring...
Proceedings Article

Spatial-temporal variations of Cd in Jiaozhou Bay

Dongfang Yang, Danfeng Yang, Sixi Zhu, Fengyou Wang, Zhikang Wang
We analyzed the horizontal, vertical and seasonal variations of Cd in waters in the bay mouth of Jiaozhou Bay, eastern China in 1984. Results showed that, for seasonal variation Cd contents in waters were higher in autumn than in summer, which were determined by the equatorial Kuroshio flowing. For horizontal...
Proceedings Article

Exploration of the Sport Injury Characteristics and Reasons of Tennis Amateurs

Liu Yuanhai, Shi Guoying, Yang Gang, Wang Zhihui
By using the method of questionnaire, literature, data statistics and other research methods, a questionnaire survey was carried out among tennis amateurs in Wuhan, Xiaogan, Xianning. On the basis of knowing the current situation of tennis amateur sports injury on the knowledge, we summarize a conclusion...

Seasonality and trend analysis of tuberculosis in Lahore, Pakistan from 2006 to 2013

Aasia Khaliq, Syeda Aadila Batool, M. Nawaz Chaudhry
Pages: 397 - 403
Tuberculosis (TB) is a respiratory infectious disease which shows seasonality. Seasonal variation in TB notifications has been reported in different regions, suggesting that various geographic and demographic factors are involved in seasonality. The study was designed to find out the temporal and seasonal...
Proceedings Article

Spatial and Seasonal Distribution Study and Correlation Analysis of Aerosol and PM2.5 in Beijing City Based on MODIS Data

Wei Ye, Wei Song
The inversion of aerosol optical depth (AOD) of Beijing in each four seasons of 2014 year was carried out in this paper. The results show that, in seasonal distribution, the AOD of Beijing city was lower in winter and spring, stable in summer and autumn. In spatial distribution, the AOD is large in the...
Proceedings Article

A Chinese New Year Aware ARIMA Model for Electricity Consumption Forecast

Tiao Cai, Xin Wang, Sui Huang
The forecast of electricity consumption has a siginificant impact on both economics and society. Various models have been developed to make this forecast accurate. Among them is the highly successful ARIMA model which is based on time series analysis. However, when applied local in China, ARIMA forecast...

Analyze the Outpatient Cost Structure Change after the Comprehensive Reform of Public Hospitals by the Least Squares Trend Seasonal Multiplication Model

Meiqin Wang, Qingbin Wu, Yu Meng
Background: To find out the seasonal variation rule of outpatient expenditure structure from 2013 to 2016, and predict the outpatient cost structure change in 2017 by the least squares trend seasonal multiplication model, and analyze the effect after the comprehensive reform of public hospitals. Methods:...

The Impact of Seasonal Changes on the Production of seaweed (Eucheuma cottonii) in Teluk Tamiang Village, Tanjung Selayar District, Kotabaru Regency

Yuliyanto Yuliyanto, Sutarno Sutarno, MTh Sri Budiastuti, Prabang Setyono
Kotabaru Regency is one of the regencies in South Kalimantan Province, Indonesia, with significant potential for seaweed cultivation activities. However, the production of Eucheuma cottonii seaweed in Kotabaru Regency has been decreasing annually. Notably, since 2010, there has been no seaweed production...

The Impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on Changes in Trade Volume in Countries Along the Route: A Study Based on the Mann-Kendall Test and STL Decomposition

Weiqi Jiang, Haozhuo Guo, Longyao Lin
Since its proposal in 2013, the Belt and Road Initiative has become an important strategic framework for promoting global economic cooperation and development. With the in-depth implementation of the initiative, trade activities in countries along the route have increased significantly, promoting the...
Proceedings Article

Spatiotemporal Heterogeneity of Regional Decarbonization in China: Forecasting and Differentiated Strategies Based on LSTM and Spatial Econometric Modeling

Changhao Wang, Rui Ye, Zhengrui Xie, And Peng Zhang
This study examines the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of decarbonization pathways across China’s four major regions (2000–2020) by integrating LSTM forecasting with spatial econometric analysis. Utilizing panel data, three-dimensional visualization, and machine learning, we quantify regional disparities...

The use of simulation light & moving images in determining data for artificial coloration lure design (top water) for Sebarau fish species

Ku Ahmad Adzam Bin Ku Saud, Hushinaidi Hj Abdul Hamid, Muhammad Asyraf Mhd Pauzi
The pursuit of game fish is as much an art as it is a science. Amongst the varied species targeted by anglers, the Sebarau fish species or Hampala Barb, renowned for its fighting spirit and elusiveness, presents a unique challenge. The crafting of lures color to attract this esteemed quarry is an intricate...

Intelligent Price Forecasting System for Spice Traders with Machine Learning

Kiran Basavannappagowda, J. B. Simha, M. P. Praveen, Gundlupet Sadananda Murthy
Spices are essential agricultural products that hold considerable economic importance and fulfill various roles in culinary, medicinal, and industrial fields. Black pepper, a spice traded worldwide, experiences frequent price changes due to seasonal variations, inconsistent quality, and disruptions in...

Lightweight Machine Learning for Condenser Valve Prediction in a Geothermal Power Plant: A Darajat Case Study

Opan Ropandi, Sihana Sihana, Dwi Joko Suroso
Improving condenser performance is essential for sustaining the efficiency of geothermal power plants within Indonesia’s Net Zero Emission roadmap. This study investigates the application of machine learning (ML) models to predict condenser valve openings at PLTP Darajat. Three models were evaluated:...
Proceedings Article

Short-term Load forecasting by a new hybrid model

Guo Hehong, Du Guiqing, Wu Liping, Hu Zhiqiang
Accurate short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a vital role in power systems because it is the essential part of power system planning and operation. Considering that an individual forecasting model usually cannot work very well for STLF, a hybrid model based on the seasonal ARIMA model and BP neural...

An Aesthetic Interpretation of Qinling’s Ecological Blend Features in Tang Poems

Yi Zhang
The Qinling Mountains are known as the dragon veins of China, and are also the central mountains that are geographically compatible with north and south, and run through the east and the west. Such natural geographic conditions determine the special ecology of the Qinling. The Qinling Mountains are located...
Proceedings Article

Transaction Cost for Marketing of Voor Oogst Kasturi Tobacco: Case in Jember Regency

Wilda A. Safitri, M. Rondhi, Triana D. Hapsari
The tobacco marketing institution has strategic roles (entry point) in driving tobacco agribusiness system and improving farmers’ bargaining position. However, the limited information owned by the farmer in marketing the tobacco causes not all farmers to directly sell the tobacco to the warehouse, even...

A Novel Hybrid STL-Based Model for Egg Price Forecasting

Liyun Mo, Minlan Jiang, Xiaosheng Fang, Xiaowei Shi
The egg industry is a significant contributor to the economy and requires a stable egg price for its sustainable growth. Accurate egg price prediction is crucial to monitor the market, provide reference for decision-making, and achieve early warning. This study presents a novel egg price forecasting...

Ownership Concentration and Environmental Information Disclosures

Tangmei Yuan, Guirong Wang
In order to investigate the ownership concentration of influence environmental information disclosure and market reactions, this paper use Chinese all A-share listed companies of main board market in 2012 as samples, and the research conclusion indicate that: (1) The higher tradable shares, and the higher...
Proceedings Article

Forming Mechanism of the Loess Landslides Triggered by Irrigation and Seasonal Freezing

Wenhong Liu, Tonglu Li
The fundamental characters and failure mechanism of the landslides related to freeze-thaw action are introduced in this paper. Monitoring of the ground temperature and the pore water pressure at the landslide located at the side of the Heifangtai loess platform, Gansu province suggested freezing can...
Proceedings Article

Effects of Air Temperature Fluctuations on Turnover Time of a Little Mountain Reservoir

Hong LI, Zengwen GAO
Reservoirs serve a lot in solving water shortage problems. It is critical to ensure the quality in the reservoir. Turnover time is identified to influence the water quality significantly. In this study, the effect of air temperature variations on turnover time in a reservoir on Fushan Mountain (Qingdao,...
Proceedings Article

Forecasting The Number of Foreign Tourism Visits to Indonesia using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Holt-Winters Approach

Indah Fahmiyah, Lidya Septi Andini, Mohammad Ghani
The tourism sector is one of the economic sectors that shows the fastest growth rate and is the largest foreign exchange contributor in a large number of countries, including Indonesia. In the third quarter of 2023, Indonesia’s tourism sector generated more than USD 6 billion, which is equivalent to...

Feasibility of Clove Farming in Gangga District North Lombok Regency

Dewa Kadek Suniantara, I Ketut Budastra, Taslim Sjah
The objectives of this study were: (1) to analyze the income of clove farming in Gangga District, North Lombok Regency; and (2) to analyze the feasibility of clove farming in Gangga District, North Lombok Regency. This research used a descriptive method and collected secondary time series data. Data...

From Satisfaction to Sustainability: Topic Modeling Insights from a Decade of Airbnb Guest Reviews

Linda Khchitif, Hind Benouakrim
This research examines the temporal evolution of satisfaction attributes in Morocco’s Airbnb ecosystem from 2013 to 2023 and analyzes their impact on tourism sustainability. Through the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) anal-ysis of 51,880 English-language reviews, our study reveals significant shifts...
Proceedings Article

Product Development of Fried Shallot from Dairi Potentiates as Souvenir

Hadassah Elisabeth, Tabligh Permana, Elisabeth K. Prabawati
Dairi regency is rich with their horticultural plants, especially shallots. But shallots are seasonal plants which affect the price fluctuation even though it has a big potential. The importance of this research is developing a product from Dairi shallot in order to stabilize the market price of shallot,...