Proceedings of the 2018 International Conference on Transportation & Logistics, Information & Communication, Smart City (TLICSC 2018)

Modeling Household Car Ownership using Ordered Response Model

Authors
Kaijun Cui, Chunfu Shao, Guangzheng Yao
Corresponding Author
Kaijun Cui
Available Online December 2018.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/tlicsc-18.2018.13How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Person Trip Survey; Car Ownership; Unordered Response Model; Ordered Response Model; Marginal Utility.
Abstract
Considering the discrete and order attributes of household car ownership, the unordered response model (MNL model) and ordered response model (OL model) are used to predict the household car ownership using the data of fifth Beijing Person Trip Survey in 2015. The results show that the number of driver's licenses has the most significant impact on car ownership, followed by owning house, family size, household income and household registration in Beijing. Different from previous studies, it is found that the age of households between 35-44 and 55-64 will significantly affect the number of car ownership. A brief analysis is carried out on the impact of the travel limit policy on car ownership. The model passes statistical tests and calculates the marginal utility of all significant explanatory variables.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

Download article (PDF)

Proceedings
Part of series
Advances in Intelligent Systems Research
Publication Date
December 2018
ISBN
978-94-6252-621-1
ISSN
1951-6851
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2991/tlicsc-18.2018.13How to use a DOI?
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license.

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Kaijun Cui
AU  - Chunfu Shao
AU  - Guangzheng Yao
PY  - 2018/12
DA  - 2018/12
TI  - Modeling Household Car Ownership using Ordered Response Model
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 81
EP  - 87
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/tlicsc-18.2018.13
DO  - https://doi.org/10.2991/tlicsc-18.2018.13
ID  - Cui2018/12
ER  -