A Study of a Territorial System Functioning Framework as a Multilevel Complex Structure and the Competitive-Optimal Forecasting of some of its Elements Taking Inconsistency and Uncertainty into Account

DOI

10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.89How to use a DOI?

Keywords

territorial system, multilevel structure, stable and effective compromise, the model of dynamic balance

Abstract

The research objective of this article is conducting competitive-optimal forecasting of enterprises that are part of a territorial system, viewed as a multilevel complex structure that takes the factors of inconsistency and uncertainty into account, in conditions of static oligopoly as a multifactorial comparison of competitiveness in the commodity market on the basis of stable and effective trade-offs. The following methods were used in the article to achieve this goal: an examination of the contribution of each subsystem of the territorial system in the optimization problem: variational approaches, the maximum principle, dynamic programming methods, and nonlinear programming procedures, complemented by game approaches to ensure stable interactions in the multi-objective multiple-criteria system. The optimization subsystem of the territorial system involves the interaction of objects based on Nash, Pareto, and Shapley’s optimization methods, using the "threats and counter-threats" method. Statistical methods are used in the planning and managing process for business activities, based on stable and effective trade-offs (STET). The main results of the research include the presented model of the territorial system as a multi-level complex framework in the form of a system of generalized dynamic balance equations and its structure presented as a system of dynamically-algebraic connections, with the allocation of uncertainty and risk factors in the control system. Three key methods for representing the combinations of control forces and their parameters are described, and five principles of conflict interaction in the territorial system management framework are distinguished. The article presents an analysis of the competitive optimal forecast results in conditions of a static oligopoly of two conditional enterprises (one of which is the average) in the form of a multifactorial comparison of enterprises' competitiveness on the basis of stable and effective trade-offs. The results of the study are presented using indicator value areas, Shepley points, “threats and counter-threats” method regions, Pareto solutions, and a STEC point [1]. The scientific relevance of the results obtained is that the administrative-territorial structure reform in Ukraine affects the development process of the territory management system, and this process is connected not only with the decentralization of the authority, but also with the evolution of mechanisms, technologies, communications, and processes of the management system informatization. There is an urgent need to form a general automated system of territory management based on modeling elements of the territorial system as a multilevel complex structure. As the activity of enterprises has the most significant impact on the development of the territorial system, modeling methods for planning production and commercial activities processes for enterprises to ensure the stability of development of territories in competitive environments are actualized. The practical importance of the obtained results is that territorial authorities and management should solve a wide range of tasks for ensuring the functioning and development of the territory that should provide its population with the appropriate level of life quality. All these tasks are interconnected and cannot be solved separately. Their implementation is impossible without an adequate automated control system for these processes at the territorial level.

Copyright

© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Yurii Chebukin
AU  - Halyna Raiko
AU  - Viktor Kozel
AU  - Yevhen Danylets
PY  - 2019/09
DA  - 2019/09
TI  - A Study of a Territorial System Functioning Framework as a Multilevel Complex Structure and the Competitive-Optimal Forecasting of some of its Elements Taking Inconsistency and Uncertainty into Account
BT  - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Strategies, Models and Technologies of Economic Systems Management (SMTESM 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 461
EP  - 466
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.89
DO  - 10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.89
ID  - Chebukin2019/09
ER  -