Research on Civil Aviation Emergency Decision-making Based on System Dynamics

DOI

10.2991/msota-16.2016.35How to use a DOI?

Keywords

civil aircraft accident; emergency response plan; system dynamic theory

Abstract

This paper is different with those paper which combined with the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and grey prediction model to construct the accident emergency response plan (ERP), but used a system dynamic theory to analysis the key parameters in the evolution of civil aircraft accident and we put forward a new evolutional dynamical flow graph for the appeared aircraft incident in civil aviation system, and next step we combine with the improved K2 method based on Bayesian network to establish a more comprehensive and practical than the traditional decision model based on prior knowledge, and it can provide aided decision for civil aviation aircraft accident emergency action.

Copyright

© 2017, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Weijun Pan
AU  - Chuyang Yang
AU  - Heping Shi
PY  - 2016/12
DA  - 2016/12
TI  - Research on Civil Aviation Emergency Decision-making Based on System Dynamics
BT  - Proceedings of 2016 International Conference on Modeling, Simulation and Optimization Technologies and Applications (MSOTA2016)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 151
EP  - 154
SN  - 2352-538X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/msota-16.2016.35
DO  - 10.2991/msota-16.2016.35
ID  - Pan2016/12
ER  -