Childhood in Russian Regions: Simulation of Socio-Economic Processes

DOI

10.2991/iscfec-18.2019.264How to use a DOI?

Keywords

сhildren; Russian regions; correlation and regression analysis; economic and infrastructure factors.

Abstract

The aim of our study is to build models of socio-economic processes in the Russian regions, which are the background for the achievement of three indicators of the quality of childhood – health, education and spiritual and moral development. The parameters characterizing social and economic processes in the region are designated as managing factors, and indicators of quality of the childhood as target factors. The necessary empirical data are collected from the Russian statistical compilations, as well as the unified interdepartmental information and statistical system. 2016 was chosen as the observation period. The interaction of target and control factors is described by means of regression equations. Equations with the highest percentage of explained regression, as well as repetitive control factors (each target factor had its own equation) became the basis for the construction of the simulation model in AnyLogic. The approach of system dynamics has been chosen from among three approaches of stimulation, allowing to work with incomplete data, to track changes in the model over time, as well as to build cause-and-effect relationships between factors. In the system dynamics model, the target factors are overridden in ‘drives’, and the control factors – in variables (regulated and unregulated).

Copyright

© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - А. G. Filipova
AU  - A. V. Vysockaya
PY  - 2019/01
DA  - 2019/01
TI  - Childhood in Russian Regions: Simulation of Socio-Economic Processes
BT  - Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference "Far East Con" (ISCFEC 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1170
EP  - 1172
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/iscfec-18.2019.264
DO  - 10.2991/iscfec-18.2019.264
ID  - Filipova2019/01
ER  -