An Equilibrium Model of Macro Financial Risk Alert and Measurement

DOI

10.2991/icsste-15.2015.217How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Equilibrium Model, Macro Financial Risk, Alert, Measurement

Abstract

An equilibrium model of macro-financial system is crucial to the stability of the wholly country and society, and an effective financial risk alert system is important for macro-economic policy formulation as it can detect and predict financial crisis. This paper designs an integrated equilibrium model through three aspects: choosing risk alert indicators on previous literatures, judging financial risk ranks by factor analysis and history data, applying BP neural network to design an equilibrium model and form an prediction of financial crisis in 2010, and the predication shows that the total macro-financial is running safely, but there are some insecure facts which still exist in the macro-economic sub-system and external financial sub-system. The research in this paper is very significant to our country and can provide certain reference for the investigation in the future.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Download article (PDF)

TY  - CONF
AU  - Huizhen Long
PY  - 2015/04
DA  - 2015/04
TI  - An Equilibrium Model of Macro Financial Risk Alert and Measurement
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Social Science and Technology Education
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 857
EP  - 860
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/icsste-15.2015.217
DO  - 10.2991/icsste-15.2015.217
ID  - Long2015/04
ER  -