Study of the Quantitative Evaluation of Tourism in Shanghai Based on the World Exhibition or Exposition
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- component, Harmonic Analysis of Time Series,trend extrapolation ,autoregression model ARMA(p,q),gray model GM(1,1)
To make better analysis on the effect of every stage of the Expo on the tourism in Shanghai and predict Expo effect, the dissertation analyses every stage of the Expo by setting up the autoregression model ARMA(p,q) and gray model GM(1,1)and using MATLAB and weighted fitting line, and acquires the predicted value of the tourist number entering the country in following five years. The experiment shows that we can get the following points by analyzing data in the table. The Expo can bring the vast tourist source to the tourism in Shanghai, increase income of tourism, push the infrastructure construction of the tourism forward, improve the image of the tourism in Shanghai and realize the evaluation and generalization based on the model.
- © 2013, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Jiatong Yu PY - 2014/05 DA - 2014/05 TI - Study of the Quantitative Evaluation of Tourism in Shanghai Based on the World Exhibition or Exposition BT - Proceedings of the 2012 2nd International Conference on Computer and Information Application (ICCIA 2012) PB - Atlantis Press SP - 1121 EP - 1124 SN - 1951-6851 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/iccia.2012.276 DO - https://doi.org/10.2991/iccia.2012.276 ID - Yu2014/05 ER -