Proceedings of the 2016 International Conference on Automatic Control and Information Engineering

A Chaos Time Series Prediction Method of Generalized Phase Space

Authors
Yu-min Pan, Yong-hong Deng, Li-feng Wu, Quan-zhu Zhang
Corresponding Author
Yu-min Pan
Available Online October 2016.
DOI
10.2991/icacie-16.2016.11How to use a DOI?
Keywords
Chaotic, Phase space reconstruction, RBF, Distribution coefficient, BP, Gas emission, Wavelet denoising
Abstract

Aiming at the limitation of the regression prediction method for mine gas emission, a chaotic time series prediction method for reconstruction of generalized phase space is proposed in this paper. This method is used to construct phase spaces for time series with unobvious chaotic characteristics and fit equivalent chaotic attractors by RBF and BP network in order for prediction researches by calculating saturated embedding dimensions and designing main neural network parameters. A prediction method for stabilizing the neural network prediction result is brought forward and wavelet denoising is made for original signals to improve the prediction precision. This method can effectively overcome the deficiency of record data types, with stronger practicability, then the simulation experiment on Mackey-Glass time series and actual mine gas emission has proved the feasibility and effectiveness of this method.

Copyright
© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2016 International Conference on Automatic Control and Information Engineering
Series
Advances in Engineering Research
Publication Date
October 2016
ISBN
10.2991/icacie-16.2016.11
ISSN
2352-5401
DOI
10.2991/icacie-16.2016.11How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Yu-min Pan
AU  - Yong-hong Deng
AU  - Li-feng Wu
AU  - Quan-zhu Zhang
PY  - 2016/10
DA  - 2016/10
TI  - A Chaos Time Series Prediction Method of Generalized Phase Space
BT  - Proceedings of the 2016 International Conference on Automatic Control and Information Engineering
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 44
EP  - 49
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/icacie-16.2016.11
DO  - 10.2991/icacie-16.2016.11
ID  - Pan2016/10
ER  -