The Analysis and Fast Appraisal of Shale Gas Exploration Risk in China

DOI

10.2991/emcs-16.2016.354How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Shale gas; Exploration risk; Key factor; Probability model

Abstract

The exploration risk is the most important factor that hamper the development of shale gas industry now. So in this paper we try to analysis and appraisal the exploration risk in order to help the investors to make investment decision. Through analysis we know that there are two kinds of risks: one is distribution risk; the other is cognitive risk. Then a probability model is established to fast appraisal the exploration risk. The formula of the model shows that the generation condition is the most important factor, the thickness of the shale, the content of organic, the thermal maturity of organic, the condition of the roof and floor layer, the fault condition, exposed or not, the buried depth of the reservoir are the key factors, the content of brittle mineral and the volume percentage of “wet” rock are the “plus” term in the model, not the decisive factors.

Copyright

© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Xiaojin Geng
AU  - Shenggang You
AU  - Yanting Wu
PY  - 2016/01
DA  - 2016/01
TI  - The Analysis and Fast Appraisal of Shale Gas Exploration Risk in China
BT  - Proceedings of the 2016 International Conference on Education, Management, Computer and Society
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1418
EP  - 1421
SN  - 2352-538X
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/emcs-16.2016.354
DO  - 10.2991/emcs-16.2016.354
ID  - Geng2016/01
ER  -