Activities of Illegal Weapons Criminal Component of Hybrid Threats

DOI

10.2991/aebmr.k.210320.016How to use a DOI?

Keywords

hybrid threats, factor analysis, system of MIA bodies, capability, vulnerability, correlation, risk assessment, regression analysis

Abstract

The paper focuses on the study of hybrid threats in the civil security sector in Ukraine. It is substantiated, based on the factor analysis, the hypothesis of existence of hybrid threats related to the spread of certain types of crime in Ukraine, in particular the activities of illegal armed groups. An empirical study based on the expert survey’s results in the system of bodies of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine on identification and assessment of hybrid threats in the civil security sector, as well as quantitative assessment of law enforcement agencies’ ability to counter these threats. Emphasis is placed on estimating variations in vulnerability of the law enforcement system. It is assessed, based on the linear regression model, the risk assessment of spreading of the hybrid threat “activity of illegal armed groups”; priority risk reduction factors were identified and an appropriate forecast model was formed.

Copyright

© 2021, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Oleksandr Korystin
AU  - Nataliia Svyrydiuk
PY  - 2021
DA  - 2021/03/22
TI  - Activities of Illegal Weapons Criminal Component of Hybrid Threats
BT  - Proceedings of the International Conference on Economics, Law and Education Research (ELER 2021)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 86
EP  - 91
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.210320.016
DO  - 10.2991/aebmr.k.210320.016
ID  - Korystin2021
ER  -