Simulation modeling of the relative influence of the benefits of defense capability strategies on the security of states

DOI

10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.49How to use a DOI?

Keywords

economic status, defense capability, military potential index, global fire strength index, neighbor states, neural network, defense strategy

Abstract

Throughout its existence, the Ukrainian state has always suffered from political, economic and military harassment by neighboring states from ancient times to the present day. Whether its geographical location, which determines the center of Europe, or ineffective leadership, has always forced Ukraine to uphold its legitimate interests, territorial integrity and independence. Under such conditions, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (the Armed Forces) are the key to protecting the territorial integrity and inviolability of Ukraine entrusted to them by the Constitution of the state. Ukraine has a relative backwardness in the economic defense capabilities, which needs to be addressed by raising the indicators of macroeconomic development, innovation and economic potential, social health of the population of the state, and the support of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, by the state. The estimation of the defense capability of the states of Ukraine, Poland, Russia and Turkey is made on the basis of the developed methodological approach to the overall representation of the health of the economies of the states and their defense capabilities using the method of constructing petal diagrams with the definition of their effective areas, which became indicators of economic status and defense capability. The results of the assessment of the developed and applied indices of defense capabilities of the states of Ukraine, Poland, Russia and Turkey indicate some deviations of the ratings of the states according to the MCI military potential index in comparison with the GFI global fire strength indexes and the Credit Suisse (СS) institute for the states Ukraine and Poland. According to GFI, the global fire strength index is inferior to Poland, and the MCI military capability index is the opposite. This suggests that these states have almost one level of defense, if not take into account that Poland is a member of NATO. As to the economic status of the defense capability of Turkey and Russia, Russia is ahead of and has a second world level after the United States. But they also have significant economic problems that, in the long run, give Ukraine, with proper planning of defense capabilities and the availability of significant intellectual capital, to reach their level and to ensure the inviolability of the borders from possible encroachment.

Copyright

© 2019, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Vasyl Porokhnya
AU  - Oleksandr Ostapenko
PY  - 2019/09
DA  - 2019/09
TI  - Simulation modeling of the relative influence of the benefits of defense capability strategies on the security of states
BT  - Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Strategies, Models and Technologies of Economic Systems Management (SMTESM 2019)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 251
EP  - 256
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.49
DO  - 10.2991/smtesm-19.2019.49
ID  - Porokhnya2019/09
ER  -