Analysis of the Relationship Between Unemployment and Crime Rate in China

DOI

10.2991/assehr.k.220105.122How to use a DOI?

Keywords

crime rate; unemployment rate; regression analysis

Abstract

With the tremendous changing of social economic activity, crime rate has an increasing trend. Urbernization rate, divorce rate, GDP, education, and unemployment rate all have certain correlation to crime rate and This paper focused on one concerned question in economics of crime, which is the relationship between unemployment rate and crime rate. There are bunch of factors that could influenced crime rate, such as the development of economy, gap of income, urbanization, education, labor markets; unemployment rate is one of the standards that could measure economy, and it has certain relationship with crime rate. Crime rate is treated as dependent variable, and unemployment rate as independent variable. Also, income inequality, education level, development of economy, population density, budget of government justice system, population mobility, and consumption of alcohol are added as independent variables.

City-level panel data and Fixed Effect and Random Effect Model are used to do the empirical analysis toward unemployment and crime rate. According to the regression results, an obvious significant positive correlation between unemployment rate and crime rate. Under Fixed Effect Model, when there is one percent increasing of crime unemployment rate, crime rate will move 0.72 % up, and 0.67% for Random Effect Model. Meanwhile, we find that level of economic development, population mobility, consumption of alcohol, income inequality all have significant positive correlation with crime rate. However, education level, population density, and budget of government justice system do have significant relationship with crime rate.

Copyright

© 2022 The Authors. Published by Atlantis Press SARL.

Open Access

This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC license.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Xiaoye Wang
AU  - Shixin Hu
PY  - 2022
DA  - 2022/01/17
TI  - Analysis of the Relationship Between Unemployment and Crime Rate in China
BT  - Proceedings of the 2021 International Conference on Social Development and Media Communication (SDMC 2021)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 665
EP  - 670
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/assehr.k.220105.122
DO  - 10.2991/assehr.k.220105.122
ID  - Wang2022
ER  -