Risk Evaluation of Recovery Efficiency Based On Orthogonal Experiment and Monte Carlo Method

DOI

10.2991/meic-14.2014.6How to use a DOI?

Keywords

orthogonal experiment; Monte Carlo; recovery efficiency; risk; program

Abstract

The parameters (such as the permeability and the porosity, etc) that affect the recovery efficiency of oil reservoir have the uncertainties within a certain range, which will bring certain risks to the evaluation on recovery efficiency of the numerical simulation program. According to the analysis of the orthogonal experiment and the Monte Carlo method, the evaluation method of recovery efficiency based on the link application of the above two methods has been proposed in this paper. Firstly, the orthogonal table has been created through defining the uncertain parameters and their ranges. Afterwards, the multiple linear relationship between the uncertain parameters and the recovery efficiency has been established according to the numerical simulation of different experiment programs. Finally, the Monte Carlo method has been adopted in this paper to simulate the distribution frequency of recovery efficiency when the uncertain parameter shows a normal distribution, which will provide the reliable basis for the determination of recovery efficiency.

Copyright

© 2014, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Yalong Zhang
AU  - Jin Pang
AU  - Hong Liu
AU  - Dewei Gao
PY  - 2014/11
DA  - 2014/11
TI  - Risk Evaluation of Recovery Efficiency Based On Orthogonal Experiment and Monte Carlo Method
BT  - Proceedings of the 2014 International Conference on Mechatronics, Electronic, Industrial and Control Engineering
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 23
EP  - 26
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/meic-14.2014.6
DO  - 10.2991/meic-14.2014.6
ID  - Zhang2014/11
ER  -