Ebola Infectious Model Based on SEIR

DOI

10.2991/isss-15.2015.70How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Ebola; SI model; SEIR model.

Abstract

This paper build two mathematics models to study the spread of the disease. In model 1, we collect the number of total cases and deaths of Ebola in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone from WHO’s website. There is no vaccine or medication which can protect people from the disease in this period, so in order to describe the spread of Ebola virus accurately, we build improved SI epidemic model to estimate how many cases of Ebola will exist in these countries when the epidemic has been controlled (see Table 1). In model 2, we assume the effective medication is widely used to fight against Ebola, and we take patients in the incubation period into consideration. So we build improved SEIR epidemic model. We use the iterative method to obtain the numerical solution for its nonlinearity. We estimate that the number of recovered people is 6071 in Guinea.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Ji Tao
PY  - 2015/08
DA  - 2015/08
TI  - Ebola Infectious Model Based on SEIR
BT  - Proceedings of the 1st International Symposium on Social Science (isss-15)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 288
EP  - 291
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/isss-15.2015.70
DO  - 10.2991/isss-15.2015.70
ID  - Tao2015/08
ER  -