Urbanisation, Paddy Field Conversion and its Impact on Rice Production in Indonesia: A Synthesis of Panel Data 2015–2019

DOI

10.2991/978-94-6463-445-7_28How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Paddy field conversion; panel regression analysis; rice production impact

Abstract

Agricultural land conversion is a threat to the fulfilment of food needs. Conversion of agricultural land has increased along with the increase in the fulfilment of human needs for both housing and industry. This study focuses on the growth rate of conversion of paddy fields in Indonesia, the factors that influence the rate of conversion of paddy fields in Indonesia, and the impact of paddy field conversion on rice production in Indonesia. This study uses panel data on 34 provinces in Indonesia from 2015–2019. The data analysis method used is panel regression with the fixed effect method (FEM) approach. The results showed that the average conversion of agricultural land during the period 2015–2019 was 5.68% per year. Furthermore, the variables that significantly affect the conversion of paddy fields in Indonesia are population, the proportion of paddy fields to the total area in Indonesia, the ratio of agricultural GRDP to industrial GRDP, and the ratio of agricultural GRDP to total GRDP. This causes that industrial development will have an impact on the conversion of agricultural land. Finally, the conversion of agricultural land has an impact on the loss of rice production of 73,635,810 quintals with a lost rice production value of IDR 35,132,748,789,089 trillion. The recommendation given is to maintain a balance between increasing rice production with land intensity and industrial development.

Copyright

© 2024 The Author(s)

Open Access

Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Muhammad Ali Yafi
AU  - M. Rondhi
PY  - 2024
DA  - 2024/06/29
TI  - Urbanisation, Paddy Field Conversion and its Impact on Rice Production in Indonesia: A Synthesis of Panel Data 2015–2019
BT  - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Neural Networks and Machine Learning 2023 (ICNNML 2023)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 249
EP  - 262
SN  - 1951-6851
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-445-7_28
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6463-445-7_28
ID  - Yafi2024
ER  -