The Evaluation of Bus Operation Reliability at the Stops Based on the Monte Carlo Simulation

DOI

10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Monte Carlo Simulation; Public Transport; Operation Reliability

Abstract

To enhance the bus operation stability is the key to improve bus service. Traditional evaluation of the bus operation stability always relies on the whole line, the stability of the bus operation at the stops can not be reflected. Besides, traditional evaluation of the bus operation stability drawing from the data which is collected in a period of short time can not reflect the affection from the randomness of the environment. This article discussed the bus operation reliability based on the stops, using the Monte Carlo simulation to deal with the probabilistic affection from the operation environment. Setting a bus line from a city in Zhejiang province as a example to illustrate how to analyse and calculate the bus operation reliability on the stops, in the end we get the proper evaluation indicators which is from simulation sample capacity in a certain extent error precision.

Copyright

© 2016, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Qiang Lin
AU  - Lei Zhai
AU  - Song Liu
PY  - 2016/03
DA  - 2016/03
TI  - The Evaluation of Bus Operation Reliability at the Stops Based on the Monte Carlo Simulation
BT  - Proceedings of the 2016 4th International Conference on Machinery, Materials and Computing Technology
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 1774
EP  - 1777
SN  - 2352-5401
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353
DO  - 10.2991/icmmct-16.2016.353
ID  - Lin2016/03
ER  -