Prediction Research of Death Number in Construction Accident Based on Unbiased Grey-Fuzzy-Markov Chain Method
- 10.2991/ic3me-15.2015.111How to use a DOI?
- The unbiased grey-fuzzy; Markov chain method; Construction industry; Prediction
Some of the inherent characteristics of the construction industry makes frequently construction safety accidents, and as well , that’s caused a serious of adverse effects , by now, the effective prediction which is about the trend of death number in construction accident becomes extremely important. However, the statistics of accidents is less and volatility, single evaluation model can not improve the prediction accuracy because of their limitations, leading to the low prediction accuracy of death number. The evaluation model which is combining many kinds of evaluation models has more advantages, put the unbiased theory and the fuzzy into the traditional grey markov prediction model, establish unbiased gray-fuzzy-markov chain model. This method based on the number of deaths in construction accident in 2003-2012,forecast the number in 2013-2015,then proposes some appropriate management measures.
- © 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Yu Li AU - Mengnan Li PY - 2015/08 DA - 2015/08 TI - Prediction Research of Death Number in Construction Accident Based on Unbiased Grey-Fuzzy-Markov Chain Method BT - Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Material, Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering PB - Atlantis Press SP - 560 EP - 566 SN - 2352-5401 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/ic3me-15.2015.111 DO - 10.2991/ic3me-15.2015.111 ID - Li2015/08 ER -