Proceedings of the 2018 3rd International Conference on Humanities Science, Management and Education Technology (HSMET 2018)

High-speed rail impact on urban economic growth -- Based on grey prediction model

Authors
Yiping Wei
Corresponding Author
Yiping Wei
Available Online June 2018.
DOI
10.2991/hsmet-18.2018.50How to use a DOI?
Keywords
High-speed railway, Urban economic growth, GM(1,1) model, Contribution rate.
Abstract

With the rapid development of high-speed railways, China has entered the era of high-speed rail. High-speed railways inject new impetus into the economic development of the city and enable the economy to achieve a new leap-forward development. This article takes Changsha City as an example to evaluate high-speed railways using comparative evaluation methods. It is assumed that under the conditions of “having high-speed rail” and “without high-speed rail” the impact of high-speed railway on regional economic development will be discussed by the regression model and gray predict the GM(1,l) model. The results show that the opening of high-speed rail has a pulling effect on urban economic growth and the contribution rate to economic growth shows a tendency of increasing first and then decreasing. Particularly, the contribution of high-speed rail to the economic growth in the first few years is swift and violent, with significant impact, then slows down.

Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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Volume Title
Proceedings of the 2018 3rd International Conference on Humanities Science, Management and Education Technology (HSMET 2018)
Series
Advances in Social Science, Education and Humanities Research
Publication Date
June 2018
ISBN
978-94-6252-537-5
ISSN
2352-5398
DOI
10.2991/hsmet-18.2018.50How to use a DOI?
Copyright
© 2018, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
Open Access
This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

Cite this article

TY  - CONF
AU  - Yiping Wei
PY  - 2018/06
DA  - 2018/06
TI  - High-speed rail impact on urban economic growth -- Based on grey prediction model
BT  - Proceedings of the 2018 3rd International Conference on Humanities Science, Management and Education Technology (HSMET 2018)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 265
EP  - 268
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/hsmet-18.2018.50
DO  - 10.2991/hsmet-18.2018.50
ID  - Wei2018/06
ER  -