Analysis of food demand projections under the nutrition goal and recommendations

DOI

10.2991/978-94-6463-268-2_45How to use a DOI?

Keywords

Nutritional objectives; Gray forecasting; Food for rations; Food supply and demand structure

Abstract

As the basic material foundation of human development, the supply and demand of food plays an important role in the development of a country. After solving the problem of food and clothing, the pursuit of dietary nutrition of human beings has been increasing. Based on the demand for food under the nutritional objectives, this paper organizes the food demand data of China in the past ten years, and uses the gray prediction model to predict the food ration for the next five years, compares it with the amount of food needed under the nutritional objectives, summarizes the problems in the structure of China’s food supply and demand, and puts forward the suggestions about the supply and demand of food on this basis. The study found that: (1) the demand for vegetables and cereals is higher for the whole population under the nutritional objectives, followed by fruits and dairy. (2) The expected consumption of cereals and soybeans by the population will grow gradually, with soybeans growing more slowly than cereals, and cereal consumption will exceed the nutritional standard by about 50%. (3) Residents’ consumption of milk is lower than the demand under the nutritional target, and meat intake is higher than the demand under the nutritional target. This study provides a new research perspective on food supply and demand, which in turn provides a basis for scientific decision-making in areas such as food development planning and agricultural policy.

Copyright

© 2024 The Author(s)

Open Access

Open Access This chapter is licensed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/), which permits any noncommercial use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license and indicate if changes were made.

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Zishan Xu
PY  - 2023
DA  - 2023/10/10
TI  - Analysis of food demand projections under the nutrition goal and recommendations
BT  - Proceedings of the 2023 2nd International Conference on Economics, Smart Finance and Contemporary Trade (ESFCT 2023)
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 411
EP  - 418
SN  - 2352-5428
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/978-94-6463-268-2_45
DO  - 10.2991/978-94-6463-268-2_45
ID  - Xu2023
ER  -