Prediction of Inter-Provincial Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China: Based on Logistic Model

DOI

10.2991/ermm-15.2015.80How to use a DOI?

Keywords

low-carbon economy, inter-provincial, carbon emissions, adjustment of industrial structure

Abstract

Under the assumption that carbon emissions are proportional to energy consumption, we collect some data on energy consumption and cement production to calculate the gross carbon emissions of 30 provincial administrative regions in China from 2002 to 2011. A logistic model is built to estimate the carbon emissions. Based on this, the carbon emissions of 30 provincial administrative regions in China from 2012 to 2020 are estimated, and the carbon intensity that can be reduced is also calculated. The conclusion is that China may achieve the goal to cut the CO2 emissions per unit of GDP by 40~45% by 2020 off 2005 level when the economic growth is over 8%. At the end, we put forward some comprehensive suggestions on mitigation and prospected the outlook of carbon emissions.

Copyright

© 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.

Open Access

This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).

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TY  - CONF
AU  - Qunli Wu
AU  - Jiabao Wei
PY  - 2015/04
DA  - 2015/04
TI  - Prediction of Inter-Provincial Carbon Dioxide Emissions in China: Based on Logistic Model
BT  - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Education Reform and Modern Management
PB  - Atlantis Press
SP  - 302
EP  - 305
SN  - 2352-5398
UR  - https://doi.org/10.2991/ermm-15.2015.80
DO  - 10.2991/ermm-15.2015.80
ID  - Wu2015/04
ER  -