Fuzzy Exponential Smoothing Model and Its Application in Prediction of Unsafe Event Concerned on Aircraft Collision
Authors
Xu-Sheng Gan, Jian-Guo Gao, Huan-Bin Wang
Corresponding Author
Xu-Sheng Gan
Available Online April 2015.
- DOI
- 10.2991/amcce-15.2015.94How to use a DOI?
- Keywords
- Exponential Smoothing; Fuzzy Theory; Unsafe Event; Aircraft Collision
- Abstract
To avoid the emergence of unsafe event concerned on aircraft collision, a hybrid modeling and predicting method combined fuzzy theory and exponential smoothing method is proposed. Fuzzy theory is mainly used to solve thr difficuty in the determination of the smoothing coefficient. The validation result shows that the proposed prediction method presents a good modeling and predicting performance. It is feasible and effective to predict the unsafe event concerned on aircraft collision for management and decision-making.
- Copyright
- © 2015, the Authors. Published by Atlantis Press.
- Open Access
- This is an open access article distributed under the CC BY-NC license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/).
Cite this article
TY - CONF AU - Xu-Sheng Gan AU - Jian-Guo Gao AU - Huan-Bin Wang PY - 2015/04 DA - 2015/04 TI - Fuzzy Exponential Smoothing Model and Its Application in Prediction of Unsafe Event Concerned on Aircraft Collision BT - Proceedings of the 2015 International Conference on Automation, Mechanical Control and Computational Engineering PB - Atlantis Press SP - 505 EP - 508 SN - 1951-6851 UR - https://doi.org/10.2991/amcce-15.2015.94 DO - 10.2991/amcce-15.2015.94 ID - Gan2015/04 ER -